Iran: Between economic openness and energy isolation

The Iranian presidential election pits Pezeshkian, who favors economic openness, against Jalili, who favors self-sufficiency. A crucial decision for the country's energy future.

Share:

Investissements énergie Iran

Gain full professional access to energynews.pro from 4.90$/month.
Designed for decision-makers, with no long-term commitment.

Over 30,000 articles published since 2021.
150 new market analyses every week to decode global energy trends.

Monthly Digital PRO PASS

Immediate Access
4.90$/month*

No commitment – cancel anytime, activation in 2 minutes.

*Special launch offer: 1st month at the indicated price, then 14.90 $/month, no long-term commitment.

Annual Digital PRO Pass

Full Annual Access
99$/year*

To access all of energynews.pro without any limits

*Introductory annual price for year one, automatically renewed at 149.00 $/year from the second year.

Iran is preparing to elect a new president, with two candidates with radically different visions for the future of the country’s energy industry. Masoud Pezeshkian, former Minister of Health, defends a strategy of economic openness and attracting foreign investment, while Saeed Jalili, former nuclear regulator, advocates a policy of self-sufficiency and economic resilience. This election will determine Iran’s energy trajectory for years to come.

Pezeshkian’s Pro-Investment strategy

Masoud Pezeshkian proposes resuming nuclear negotiations under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) to lift economic sanctions and attract foreign investment. According to Pezeshkian, Iran needs $250 billion in annual investment to modernize and increase the capacity of its oil industry. He believes that international cooperation is essential to achieve these goals.
Energy expert Hamid Hosseini maintains that Pezeshkian firmly believes in the importance of international interaction to revive the Iranian economy. Lifting sanctions would not only boost oil exports, but also improve the country’s overall economic situation by attracting the foreign capital needed to develop its energy infrastructure.

Jalili’s conservative approach

Saeed Jalili, for his part, is a fervent advocate of economic self-sufficiency. He proposes to build new domestic refineries to increase the added value of Iranian petroleum products. Jalili favors the use of internal financial resources to develop the upstream sector and increase oil production without relying on foreign investment.
Jalili is also known for wanting to strengthen relations with countries like Russia and China, and to reduce Iran’s dependence on US dollar transactions. Its strategy is based on increased resistance to international sanctions and maximum exploitation of internal resources to maintain and increase oil production.

Implications for the Energy Market

The election of either Pezeshkian or Jalili will have significant repercussions on the Iranian and global energy markets. Under Raisi’s presidency, Iran managed to increase its oil production despite sanctions, reaching 3.17 million barrels per day in May 2024. Nevertheless, the Iranian economy remains fragile, with high inflation and renewed US sanctions.
Pezeshkian’s vision for lifting sanctions and attracting foreign investment could stabilize and boost the Iranian economy. On the other hand, Jalili’s strategy of increasing self-sufficiency could limit opportunities for foreign investment, but would guarantee a degree of economic independence.

Economic outlook

Whoever wins the election, Iran will have to overcome many challenges to achieve its energy goals. The country will have to navigate between the need to lift sanctions to attract investment and the desire to maintain a degree of economic independence.
Iran’s energy policy will play a crucial role in the country’s economic future. With some of the world’s largest oil reserves, decisions taken in Tehran will have global repercussions. Investors and analysts will be watching developments closely, as they will influence not only the Iranian economy but also the dynamics of the international oil market.

The federal government launches a CAD3mn call for proposals to fund Indigenous participation in energy and infrastructure projects related to critical minerals.
Opportunities are emerging for African countries to move from extraction to industrial manufacturing in energy technology value chains, as the 2025 G20 discussions highlight these issues.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global renewable power capacity could more than double by 2030, driven by the rise of solar photovoltaics despite supply chain pressures and evolving policy frameworks.
Algeria plans to allocate $60 billion to energy projects by 2029, primarily targeting upstream oil and gas, while developing petrochemicals, renewables and unconventional resources.
China set a record for clean technology exports in August, driven by surging sales of electric vehicles and batteries, with more than half of the growth coming from non-OECD markets.
A night-time attack on Belgorod’s power grid left thousands without electricity, according to Russian local authorities, despite partial service restoration the following morning.
The French Academy of Sciences calls for a global ban on solar radiation modification, citing major risks to climate stability and the world economy.
The halt of US federal services disrupts the entire decision-making chain for energy and mining projects, with growing risks of administrative delays and missing critical data.
Facing a potential federal government shutdown, multiple US energy agencies are preparing to suspend services and furlough thousands of employees.
A report reveals the economic impact of renewable energy losses in Chile, indicating that a 1% drop in curtailments could generate $15mn in annual savings.
Faced with growing threats to its infrastructure, Denmark raises its energy alert level in response to a series of unidentified drone flyovers and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
The Prime Minister dismissed rumours of a moratorium on renewables, as the upcoming energy roadmap triggers tensions within the sector.
Kuwait plans to develop 14.05 GW of new power capacity by 2031 to meet growing demand and reduce scheduled outages, driven by extreme temperatures and maintenance delays.
The partnership with the World Bank-funded Pro Energia+ programme aims to expand electricity access in Mozambique by targeting rural communities through a results-based financing mechanism.
The European Commission strengthens ACER’s funding through a new fee structure applied to reporting entities, aimed at supporting increased surveillance of wholesale energy market transactions.
France’s Court of Auditors is urging clarity on EDF’s financing structure, as the public utility confronts a €460bn investment programme through 2040 to support its new nuclear reactor rollout.
The U.S. Department of Energy will return more than $13bn in unspent funds originally allocated to climate initiatives, in line with the Trump administration’s new budget policy.
Under pressure from Washington, the International Energy Agency reintroduces a pro-fossil scenario in its report, marking a shift in its direction amid rising tensions with the Trump administration.
Southeast Asia, facing rapid electricity consumption growth, could tap up to 20 terawatts of solar and wind potential to strengthen energy security.
The President of the Energy Regulatory Commission was elected to the presidency of the Board of Regulators of the Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators for a two-and-a-half-year term.