popular articles

New Zealand: Partial Sale Expected for Final 2024 Carbon Auction

New Zealand's final carbon auction of 2024, scheduled for December 4, is expected to see partial clearance, with prices exceeding NZ$64/tCO2e and an anticipated increase for 2025.

Please share:

New Zealand is preparing to hold its final carbon auction (NZUs, New Zealand Units) of 2024 on December 4, as part of its Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). Market experts predict a partial clearance, with prices likely surpassing the NZ$64/tCO2e floor.

The surge in secondary market prices, which recently reached an eight-month high of NZ$64.10/tCO2e, is driven by strong demand from ETS-regulated entities. These actors anticipate a supply reduction in 2025, coupled with a rise in auction floor prices to NZ$68/tCO2e next year.

An Auction Under Pressure

Results from the three previous auctions in 2024 have varied: the June and September sessions recorded no sales, while the March auction saw partial clearance at the reserve price. The December auction will offer a total of 11.13 million tons of allowances, including volumes unsold in prior sessions.

A local carbon project developer explained that despite rising prices, full clearance of the offered volumes remains unlikely. “Actors foresee price increases in 2025, but only those with immediate needs are buying at this stage,” he said.

Gradual Decline in Volumes

The New Zealand government has planned an annual reduction in the volumes auctioned, starting with a drop to 6 million tons in 2025. These measures aim to tighten the market and strengthen incentives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

According to a New Zealand-based forester, immediate demand remains cautious, although the high floor price is encouraging some buyers to act before 2025. “Around half of the volumes offered may sell in this session,” he estimated.

However, unsold volumes will not roll over into future auctions but will be withdrawn from the market starting in 2025, further increasing NZU scarcity.

Implications for Market Actors

Experts expect NZU prices to stabilize near the 2025 floor price following the December auction. The New Zealand government’s strategy, combining higher floor prices with reduced volumes, appears designed to progressively tighten the carbon market.

For companies operating in high-emission sectors, these developments highlight the urgency of investing in low-carbon solutions or securing the necessary quotas before expected price hikes.

Register free of charge for uninterrupted access.

Publicite

Recently published in

Global biodiesel and bio-LNG supply struggles to keep pace with rising maritime demand, posing an immediate risk to the sector’s emissions reduction targets.
US investment fund Davidson Kempner has reached an agreement to acquire Swire Energy Services, a provider of offshore equipment, strengthening its position in the global energy market.
US investment fund Davidson Kempner has reached an agreement to acquire Swire Energy Services, a provider of offshore equipment, strengthening its position in the global energy market.
International Petroleum Corporation repurchased 89,200 common shares between 26 and 30 May under its buyback programme compliant with Canadian and European regulations.
International Petroleum Corporation repurchased 89,200 common shares between 26 and 30 May under its buyback programme compliant with Canadian and European regulations.
Flex LNG has finalised a $175 mn lease financing for its Flex Courageous vessel, generating $42 mn in net proceeds as part of a financial restructuring plan announced earlier this year.
Flex LNG has finalised a $175 mn lease financing for its Flex Courageous vessel, generating $42 mn in net proceeds as part of a financial restructuring plan announced earlier this year.
EDF is challenging the legality of the nuclear contract awarded to KHNP, citing potential South Korean state support in violation of EU rules, leading to a temporary suspension of the Dukovany II project.
A report by Ember shows ASEAN could supply nearly one-third of its data centres with wind and solar power by 2030 without storage, provided appropriate public policies are implemented.
A report by Ember shows ASEAN could supply nearly one-third of its data centres with wind and solar power by 2030 without storage, provided appropriate public policies are implemented.
US energy companies reduced the number of active rigs for the fifth consecutive week, reaching their lowest level since November 2021, according to data published by Baker Hughes.
US energy companies reduced the number of active rigs for the fifth consecutive week, reaching their lowest level since November 2021, according to data published by Baker Hughes.
The 102 MW wind project in Québec secures structured loans from Canadian banks, marking a new stage for the joint venture between Innergex and the Mi'gmaq communities.
The 102 MW wind project in Québec secures structured loans from Canadian banks, marking a new stage for the joint venture between Innergex and the Mi'gmaq communities.
Sempra Infrastructure has received approval from U.S. authorities to export 13.5 Mtpa of liquefied natural gas to countries without free trade agreements, marking a key step in developing the Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 terminal.
Canadian company enCore Energy has received regulatory approval to extend its radioactive materials licence to the Upper Spring Creek project, initiating the construction of new ISR facilities near its Rosita site.
Canadian company enCore Energy has received regulatory approval to extend its radioactive materials licence to the Upper Spring Creek project, initiating the construction of new ISR facilities near its Rosita site.
EOG Resources finalises a $5.6bn acquisition of 675,000 net acres from Encino Acquisition Partners, consolidating its strategic position in the Utica formation and increasing its dividend by 5 %.
EOG Resources finalises a $5.6bn acquisition of 675,000 net acres from Encino Acquisition Partners, consolidating its strategic position in the Utica formation and increasing its dividend by 5 %.
The US Department of Energy has cancelled 24 projects funded under the Biden administration, citing their lack of profitability and alignment with national energy priorities.
The US Department of Energy has cancelled 24 projects funded under the Biden administration, citing their lack of profitability and alignment with national energy priorities.
In the United States, the carbon black market faces unprecedented fluctuations in the first half of 2025, driven by declining industrial demand and persistent raw material volatility, casting doubts over the sector's future stability.
In May 2025, natural gas demand for electricity generation in the United States declined, influenced by cooler weather conditions and a significant increase in solar generation.
In May 2025, natural gas demand for electricity generation in the United States declined, influenced by cooler weather conditions and a significant increase in solar generation.
Waga Energy has commissioned a biomethane facility in British Columbia, in partnership with FortisBC and Capital Regional District, marking the first unit of its kind on Vancouver Island.
Waga Energy has commissioned a biomethane facility in British Columbia, in partnership with FortisBC and Capital Regional District, marking the first unit of its kind on Vancouver Island.
The Norwegian group has been named preferred bidder for a 492 MWh storage project under South Africa’s public BESIPPPP programme.
The Norwegian group has been named preferred bidder for a 492 MWh storage project under South Africa’s public BESIPPPP programme.
Aker Solutions will deliver the steel structure for an HVDC converter station for the offshore BalWin2 project developed by Amprion Offshore, under a contract valued at up to NOK2.5bn ($228mn).
Syria has signed a $7bn agreement with a consortium of companies from Qatar, Turkey and the United States to rebuild its national power sector.
Syria has signed a $7bn agreement with a consortium of companies from Qatar, Turkey and the United States to rebuild its national power sector.
European and UK carbon markets paused this week as participants await clarity on future integration of both emissions trading systems.
European and UK carbon markets paused this week as participants await clarity on future integration of both emissions trading systems.
The Swedish government will implement new disclosure rules for foreign vessels, specifically targeting tankers linked to Russia’s hard-to-trace oil fleet.
The Swedish government will implement new disclosure rules for foreign vessels, specifically targeting tankers linked to Russia’s hard-to-trace oil fleet.
Chinese supplier Arctech will equip a green hydrogen project in Duqm with 175 MWp of solar trackers, marking a milestone in the industrial energy development of Oman’s coastal region.
With 80% of its projects still in early stages, Australia struggles to realise its hydrogen ambitions, according to Wood Mackenzie, which warns of lost competitiveness against Europe and the Middle East.
With 80% of its projects still in early stages, Australia struggles to realise its hydrogen ambitions, according to Wood Mackenzie, which warns of lost competitiveness against Europe and the Middle East.
Singa Renewables receives Singaporean approval to import Indonesian solar electricity, marking a strategic step forward in a regional project led by TotalEnergies and RGE.
Singa Renewables receives Singaporean approval to import Indonesian solar electricity, marking a strategic step forward in a regional project led by TotalEnergies and RGE.
Indian manufacturer Waaree has signed a $176mn solar module supply agreement with a US-based independent power producer, marking a key step in its industrial presence in the United States.
Indian manufacturer Waaree has signed a $176mn solar module supply agreement with a US-based independent power producer, marking a key step in its industrial presence in the United States.

Advertising