The IEA predicts 800 GW of geothermal installations by 2050

Geothermal energy could meet 15% of the global electricity demand by 2050, according to the International Energy Agency. This potential relies on cost reductions and increased technological adoption.

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Geothermal energy, a renewable energy source harnessing heat from the earth, holds major potential to meet the growing global electricity demand. Currently limited to an installed capacity of 15 GW, this energy source could reach 800 GW by 2050, according to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Today, geothermal energy accounts for just 1% of global electricity consumption. However, the IEA estimates it could meet up to 15% of global electricity demand growth if project costs continue to decline through technological advancements.

The unique advantages of geothermal energy

Compared to other renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, geothermal energy stands out for its ability to produce stable and continuous electricity. It is independent of weather conditions, making it an ideal solution to strengthen the reliability of electricity grids.

Moreover, technological advancements in drilling techniques derived from the oil and gas industries now enable geothermal energy to be exploited beyond traditional volcanic or tectonic zones, expanding its geographic accessibility.

Regulatory challenges to overcome

Despite its potential, geothermal energy development is hindered by uneven regulatory frameworks. While 100 countries have adopted policies promoting wind and solar energy, only 30 have regulations specifically supporting geothermal energy. This limits investments and slows the sector’s growth.

To encourage geothermal projects, the IEA calls for better long-term visibility for investors and recommends incentive measures to reduce financial risks. The organization also predicts that production costs could drop to $50 per megawatt-hour (MWh) by 2035, an 80% reduction, making geothermal energy highly competitive globally.

A synergy between geothermal energy and lithium extraction

One of the most promising developments in geothermal energy lies in its integration with lithium extraction, a metal critical for the production of electric batteries. This process relies on geothermal brines, naturally heated saline solutions found underground.

After lithium extraction, the hot water is reused to produce electricity or supply heating networks before being reinjected into the aquifers. Pilot projects in strategic regions such as the Salton Sea in the United States, the Rhine Valley in Germany, and Alsace in France demonstrate the feasibility and benefits of this approach.

Uneven global progress

Today, the United States, Indonesia, and Turkey are the main leaders in geothermal energy. In the United States, historical installations from the 1980s and 1990s still dominate, but new projects are exploring industrial and technological integration opportunities.

In Europe, recent initiatives in Germany, France, and the United Kingdom focus on the combined use of geothermal energy and lithium extraction. These projects contribute to the energy transition and strengthen energy independence while reducing global carbon emissions.

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The inauguration of the Tanawon geothermal site, with a capacity of 22 megawatts, marks a milestone in the expansion of the Philippines’ energy park with local solutions of low carbon footprint.
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Daldrup & Söhne AG has won an EU-wide tender for drilling geothermal wells in Pullach, a large-scale project that could enhance the economic appeal of geothermal energy in Germany.
The Bureau of Land Management removes rules deemed obsolete to facilitate the development of geothermal projects, announcing new geothermal lease auctions in California and Idaho.
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North America registers record funding of $1.7 billion in the first quarter of 2025, driven by emerging innovative techniques exploiting previously inaccessible geothermal resources, according to recent analysis by Wood Mackenzie.
Globeleq and African Trade & Investment Development Insurance finalise a payment guarantee for the Menengai geothermal project (35 MW), securing financing ahead of its planned operational launch in Kenya.
Ignis Energy closes its $13.6mn Series A funding round, gathering international players to finance geothermal projects in the United States and Türkiye, now entering the technical maturity phase.
Austrian oil group OMV announces a seismic campaign starting in December 2025 in the Graz region, aiming to identify potential deep geothermal reservoirs suitable for local energy production.
Saint-Nazaire Agglo and Dalkia officially sign a Public Service Delegation contract for a 37-kilometre urban heating network, primarily fuelled by thermal recovery and local biomass, operational from 2030.
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Unit 2 of the Lumut Balai geothermal plant, with a capacity of 55 MW, has successfully synchronized to the Indonesian national grid, paving the way for full commercial operation scheduled by the end of June 2025.
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Eavor Technologies secures an additional CA$138mn from the Canada Growth Fund for its geothermal project in Germany, reinforcing its operational base in Canada.
Project InnerSpace and Indonesia's IESR join forces to accelerate national geothermal development, estimated at 3,000 GW, with a strategic report expected in the autumn.
Advances in enhanced and closed-loop geothermal systems are drawing growing interest from governments and tech giants, despite critical cost reductions still needed for competitiveness.
Enertech Global will supply heat pumps for a 1,500-home project in partnership with Dandelion Energy, marking one of the largest residential geothermal deployments ever undertaken in the United States.

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