Sub-Saharan Africa LNG exports expected to triple by 2034

Liquefied natural gas exports in sub-Saharan Africa will reach 98 bcm by 2034, driven by Nigeria, Mozambique, and the entry of new regional producers.

Share:

Gain full professional access to energynews.pro from 4.90$/month.
Designed for decision-makers, with no long-term commitment.

Over 30,000 articles published since 2021.
150 new market analyses every week to decode global energy trends.

Monthly Digital PRO PASS

Immediate Access
4.90$/month*

No commitment – cancel anytime, activation in 2 minutes.

*Special launch offer: 1st month at the indicated price, then 14.90 $/month, no long-term commitment.

Annual Digital PRO Pass

Full Annual Access
99$/year*

To access all of energynews.pro without any limits

*Introductory annual price for year one, automatically renewed at 149.00 $/year from the second year.

Liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports in sub-Saharan Africa are projected to grow by 174.5% between 2024 and 2034, increasing from 35.7 to 98 billion cubic metres, according to a Fitch Solutions report published in late August. This expansion will be mainly driven by rising output in Nigeria and Mozambique, as well as the entry of new producers such as Mauritania and Senegal.

Momentum driven by Nigeria and Mozambique

Nigeria will remain the region’s leading exporter in the coming years, supported by Nigeria LNG Limited’s Train 7 project, which is 80% complete and expected to boost export capacity by 35%. Nigerian LNG exports are forecast to reach 26.5 billion cubic metres in 2026, representing a 32.5% year-on-year increase.

In Mozambique, prospects are improving with the return of international financing, notably the $4.7bn support from the US Export-Import Bank for the Mozambique LNG project led by TotalEnergies. The country plans to increase its natural gas production from 9.1 billion cubic metres in 2025 to 62.7 billion by 2034, with exports peaking at 48.4 billion cubic metres in the same year.

New entrants reshaping the regional gas map

Mauritania and Senegal joined the market in 2025 via the offshore Greater Tortue Ahmeyim field, operated by BP, Kosmos Energy, PETROSEN and SMH. The site delivered its first 174,000 m³ cargo in April 2025. Output is expected at 2.3 to 2.4 million tonnes per year, with up to 25% reserved for domestic markets by 2027.

Other countries such as Congo, Gabon, Angola, and Equatorial Guinea are also set to increase their export volumes, supported by the development of offshore floating LNG terminals. Combined exports from these producers are expected to grow from 30.9 billion cubic metres in 2024 to 44.5 billion in 2034.

Projects facing delays in Tanzania and Namibia

While some projects are advancing, others remain uncertain. In Tanzania, the $42bn Lindi LNG project has yet to begin construction. It is backed by Equinor, Shell, and ExxonMobil, which are still finalising the necessary fiscal and regulatory frameworks.

In Namibia, the Venus and Graff-1X fields show strong gas potential but require significant investment in gas capture infrastructure. The Kudu project, led by BW Energy, targets initial LNG production by 2026, though large-scale exports remain limited in the short term.

Finnish President Alexander Stubb denounced fossil fuel imports from Russia by Hungary and Slovakia as the EU prepares its 19th sanctions package against Moscow.
Japanese giant JERA has signed a letter of intent to purchase one million tonnes of LNG per year from Alaska, as part of a strategic energy agreement with the United States.
US-based Chevron has submitted a bid with HelleniQ Energy to explore four offshore blocks south of Crete, marking a new strategic step in gas exploration in the Eastern Mediterranean.
GTT has been selected by Samsung Heavy Industries to design cryogenic tanks for a floating natural gas liquefaction unit, scheduled for deployment at an offshore site in Africa.
A consortium led by BlackRock is in talks to raise up to $10.3 billion to finance a gas infrastructure deal with Aramco, including a dual-tranche loan structure and potential sukuk issuance.
TotalEnergies commits to Train 4 of the Rio Grande LNG project in Texas, consolidating its position in liquefied natural gas with a 10% direct stake and a 1.5 Mtpa offtake agreement.
US producer EQT has secured a twenty-year liquefied natural gas supply contract with Commonwealth LNG, tied to a Gulf Coast terminal under development.
The Chief Executive Officer of TotalEnergies said that NextDecade would formalise on Tuesday a final investment decision for a new liquefaction unit under the Rio Grande LNG project in the United States.
Monkey Island LNG has awarded McDermott the design of a gas terminal with a potential capacity of 26 MTPA, using a modular format to increase on-site output density and reduce execution risks.
ADNOC Gas will join the FTSE Emerging Index on September 22, potentially unlocking up to $250mn in liquidity, according to market projections.
Norwegian company BlueNord has revised downward its production forecasts for the Tyra gas field for the third quarter, following unplanned outages and more impactful maintenance than anticipated.
Monkey Island LNG adopts ConocoPhillips' Optimized Cascade® process for its 26 MTPA terminal in Louisiana, establishing a technology partnership focused on operational efficiency and competitive gas export pricing.
NextDecade has signed a liquefied natural gas supply agreement with EQT for 1.5 million tonnes annually from Rio Grande LNG Train 5, pending a final investment decision.
Sawgrass LNG & Power has renewed its liquefied natural gas supply agreement with state-owned BNECL, consolidating a commercial cooperation that began in 2016.
Gazprom and China National Petroleum Corporation have signed a binding memorandum to build the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, set to deliver 50 bcm of Russian gas per year to China via Mongolia.
Permex Petroleum signed a $3 million purchase option on oil and gas assets in Texas to support a strategy combining energy production and Bitcoin mining.
Enbridge announces the implementation of two major natural gas transmission projects aimed at strengthening regional supply and supporting the LNG market.
Commonwealth LNG’s Louisiana liquefied natural gas project clears a decisive regulatory step with final approval from the U.S. Department of Energy for exports to non-free trade agreement countries.
The Indonesian government confirmed the delivery of nine to ten liquefied natural gas cargoes for domestic demand in September, without affecting long-term export commitments.
The Egyptian government signs four exploration agreements for ten gas wells, allocating $343mn to limit the impact of the rapid decline in national production.

Log in to read this article

You'll also have access to a selection of our best content.