EDF Expects French Nuclear Generation to Increase in 2024

EDF expects French nuclear production to be at the high end of its forecast for 2024, thanks to improved reactor availability and significant operational improvements.

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EDF, Europe’s leading electricity producer, expects nuclear power generation in 2024 to be at the upper end of its forecast range, between 315 and 345 TWh.
This optimistic outlook is based on increased reactor availability, contributing to a marked drop in electricity prices.
In the first half of 2024, nuclear output rose by 12.2% year-on-year to 177.4 TWh, thanks to a robust operating performance.

Flamanville-3 and Ambitions 2035

The Flamanville-3 reactor is about to enter service, marking the launch of the first new nuclear reactor in France for several decades.
This development is central to EDF’s “Ambitions 2035” strategic plan, which aims to meet the challenges of the energy transition with increased levels of performance and investment.
EDF is preparing for “abundant” and “competitive” electricity in the long term, having already signed agreements representing over 10 TWh/year with industrial partners.

Impact of Maintenance Work and Export Records

Since March, maintenance work by RTE (Réseau de Transport d’Électricité) has limited interconnection capacity with neighboring countries to the east, temporarily affecting electricity prices in France.
Despite these limitations, France exported a record 50 TWh in the first half of the year.
Hourly electricity prices were zero or negative for 347 hours, compared with just 67 hours in the first half of 2023.

Commercial and Regulatory Strategy

EDF is preparing for new commercial and regulatory arrangements beyond the ARENH mechanism, covering its current fleet of reactors until the end of 2025.
In France, EDF has already signed letters of intent for more than 10 TWh/year with industrial partners, and nearly 2,200 contracts covering around 13 TWh for 2028 and 7 TWh for 2029.
This strategy is part of a wider framework to help customers reduce their carbon footprint, produce more low-carbon electricity and develop flexibility solutions to meet the demands of the power system.

Renewable Capacity Expansion and International Projects

EDF continues its expansion in renewable energies with the commissioning of 1 GW of new wind and solar capacity in the first half of 2024, bringing its total capacity to 15.3 GW.
In France, EDF’s Enedis unit connected 2.5 GW of new renewable capacity to the grid.
Internationally, EDF is developing major projects such as the 1.5 GW Al Ajban offshore wind farm in the United Arab Emirates and the 4.5 GW wind and solar project in Oman.

Hiring prospects and future plans

EDF plans to recruit 20,000 new employees in France this year, with a focus on nuclear and energy transition skills.
In the UK, EDF continues to work on the Hinkley Point C nuclear power plant project, with the two reactors scheduled to come on stream between 2029 and 2031.
In addition, the Sizewell C project, now fully funded by the UK government, is progressing with a majority stake of 76.1% for the government and 23.9% for EDF.
EDF anticipates significant growth in nuclear generation and renewable capacity, while navigating in an environment of falling electricity prices.
With ambitious projects and a clear strategy, EDF is positioned to play a central role in the global energy transition.

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The Norwegian government has initiated a consultation with neighbouring countries on its modular nuclear power plant project in Aure and Heim, in accordance with the Espoo Convention.
Türkiye and South Korea have signed a memorandum of understanding to jointly explore nuclear power plant projects, marking a strategic step in the long-term development of Türkiye's energy infrastructure.
Asian Development Bank has amended its energy policy to enable funding for civil nuclear projects in developing member countries across the Asia-Pacific region.
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Framatome has completed the manufacturing of the first nuclear fuel assemblies for the Barakah power plant, marking a key milestone in the supply agreement signed with Emirates Nuclear Energy Company in July.
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The Hualong One reactor at Zhangzhou nuclear power plant has been connected to the grid, marking a major milestone in the expansion of China’s civilian nuclear programme.
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NexGen Energy has opened Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission hearings for the final approval of its Rook I uranium project, following more than six years of regulatory process.
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An initial civil nuclear cooperation agreement was signed between the United States and Saudi Arabia, prompting calls from the US Congress for strict safeguards to prevent a Middle East arms race.
The launch of the Zhaoyuan nuclear project anchors the Hualong One model inland, illustrating Beijing’s strategy of regulatory normalisation in response to Western technological restrictions.

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