Brazil Reduces Hydroelectricity and Increases Thermal Sources

Intense drought on the Madeira River is forcing Brazil to reduce its dependence on hydroelectricity, in favor of more expensive thermal sources and energy imports from neighboring countries.

Share:

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25€/month*

*billed annually at 99€/year for the first year then 149,00€/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2€/month*
then 14.90€ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

The severe drought in the Amazon region is having a direct impact on power generation in Brazil.
The Madeira River, crucial for supplying the Santo Antônio and Jirau hydroelectric power plants, is showing historically low water levels.
Faced with this situation, the Electricity Sector Supervisory Committee (CMSE) is recommending a reduction in hydroelectric production in the north of the country.
This decision is not without consequences for the sector.
In response to the drop in hydroelectricity, Brazil is increasing its reliance on thermal power plants, despite higher production costs.
Electricity imports from Argentina and Uruguay are also being stepped up to compensate for the drop in domestic production.
This strategy is designed to avoid the risk of power cuts in a region that is key to the Brazilian economy.

Economic and strategic impact

Increased electricity generation from thermal sources means higher costs for producers and, potentially, for consumers.
The use of these more polluting energy sources also poses an additional challenge to Brazil ‘s decarbonization efforts . This situation is forcing companies in the sector to reassess their strategies, taking into account the new economic and environmental constraints.
Manufacturers are also being encouraged to modulate their energy consumption, by shifting their operations to periods of lower demand to alleviate pressure on the power grid.
This strategic shift is crucial to maintaining grid stability, but it could also have repercussions on the productivity of certain key sectors, particularly those dependent on a constant energy supply.

Environmental and social consequences

The reduction in hydropower has implications beyond the energy sector.
Local communities, particularly indigenous populations, are directly affected by the drying up of rivers.
Access to drinking water is becoming a growing problem, and economic activities based on river transport, such as soybean exports, are severely disrupted.
The increased risk of forest fires, exacerbated by drought, represents a further threat to an already fragile environment.
This crisis highlights the limits of Brazil’s current energy model, which is largely dependent on hydroelectricity.
The need to diversify the energy mix, by integrating more non-hydroelectric renewable energies such as solar and wind power, is becoming more pressing.
Investment in more resilient infrastructures, capable of adapting to climatic hazards, is also a priority to guarantee the country’s energy security.

The Ministry of the Economy forecasts stable regulated tariffs in 2026 and 2027 for 19.75 million households, despite the removal of the Arenh mechanism and the implementation of a new tariff framework.
The federation of the electricity sector proposes a comprehensive plan to reduce dependence on fossil fuels by replacing their use in transport, industry and housing with locally produced electricity.
The new Czech Minister of Industry wants to block the upcoming European emissions trading system, arguing that it harms competitiveness and threatens national industry against global powers.
Several scenarios are under review to regain control of CEZ, a key electricity provider in Czechia, through a transaction estimated at over CZK200bn ($9.6bn), according to the Minister of Industry.
The government has postponed the release of the new Multiannual Energy Programme to early 2026, delayed by political tensions over the balance between nuclear and renewables.
Indonesia plans $31bn in investments by 2030 to decarbonise captive power, but remains constrained by coal dependence and uncertainty over international financing.
The Bolivian government eliminates subsidies on petrol and diesel, ending a system in place for twenty years amid budgetary pressure and dwindling foreign currency reserves.
Poland’s financial watchdog has launched legal proceedings over suspicious transactions involving Energa shares, carried out just before Orlen revealed plans to acquire full ownership.
The Paris Council awards a €15bn, 25-year contract to Dalkia, a subsidiary of EDF, to operate the capital’s heating network, replacing long-time operator Engie amid political tensions ahead of municipal elections.
Norway’s energy regulator plans a rule change mandating grid operators to prepare for simultaneous sabotage scenarios, with an annual cost increase estimated between NOK100 and NOK300 per household.
The State of São Paulo has requested the termination of Enel Distribuição São Paulo’s concession, escalating tensions between local authorities and the federal regulator amid major political and energy concerns three years before the contractual expiry.
Mauritania secures Saudi financing to build a key section of the “Hope Line” as part of its national plan to expand electricity transmission infrastructure inland.
RESourceEU introduces direct European Union intervention on critical raw materials via stockpiling, joint purchasing and export restrictions to reduce external dependency and secure strategic industrial chains.
The third National Low-Carbon Strategy enters its final consultation phase before its 2026 adoption, defining France’s emissions reduction trajectory through 2050 with sector-specific and industrial targets.
Germany will allow a minimum 1.4% increase in grid operator revenues from 2029, while tightening efficiency requirements in a compromise designed to unlock investment without significantly increasing consumer tariffs.
Facing a structural electricity surplus, the government commits to releasing a new Multiannual Energy Programme by Christmas, as aligning supply, demand and investments becomes a key industrial and budgetary issue.
A key scientific report by the United Nations Environment Programme failed to gain state approval due to deep divisions over fossil fuels and other sensitive issues.
RTE warns of France’s delay in electrifying energy uses, a key step to limiting fossil fuel imports and supporting its reindustrialisation strategy.
India’s central authority has cancelled 6.3 GW of grid connections for renewable projects since 2022, marking a tightening of regulations and a shift in responsibility back to developers.
The Brazilian government has been instructed to define within two months a plan for the gradual reduction of fossil fuels, supported by a national energy transition fund financed by oil revenues.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25€/month*

*billed annually at 99€/year for the first year then 149,00€/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2€/month*
then 14.90€ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.