USA: unexpected increase in oil stocks by 7.1 million barrels

Oil stocks in the United States saw an unexpected rise of 7.1 million barrels as of July 4, defying analyst expectations of a decline, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Share:

Subscribe for unlimited access to all the latest energy sector news.

Over 150 multisector articles and analyses every week.

For less than €3/week*

*For an annual commitment

*Engagement annuel à seulement 99 € (au lieu de 149 €), offre valable jusqu'au 30/07/2025 minuit.

U.S. commercial oil stocks recorded an unexpected increase of 7.1 million barrels for the week ending July 4. This rise, revealed by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), occurred while analysts had expected a decrease of around 1.6 million barrels, according to estimates gathered by Bloomberg. In total, commercial stocks,…

U.S. commercial oil stocks recorded an unexpected increase of 7.1 million barrels for the week ending July 4. This rise, revealed by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), occurred while analysts had expected a decrease of around 1.6 million barrels, according to estimates gathered by Bloomberg. In total, commercial stocks, excluding the strategic reserve, amounted to 426 million barrels.

Statistical adjustment to blame
This increase is largely attributed to a statistical adjustment, as the EIA regularly revises data from previous weeks. For this period, approximately 788,000 barrels per day were added to the U.S. market volumes, a correction unrelated to the activity during the reported week.

Export and production trends
Crude oil stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, hub, the primary delivery point for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, rose by 500,000 barrels. Meanwhile, crude oil exports surged by 19.61%, while imports fell by 13.09% compared to the previous week.

Refinery activity and crude production
U.S. refineries maintained an operating rate of 94.7%, a slight decrease from the previous week’s rate of 94.9%. Crude oil production declined to 13.38 million barrels per day, down from 13.43 million barrels per day the prior week.

Impact on oil prices
This unexpected rise in oil stocks has implications for oil prices. Although demand appears to support consumption, with refined products increasing by 1.85%, oil prices remain stable. As of 15:00 GMT, the price of Brent crude for September delivery fell by 0.01% to $70.14, while WTI for August delivery edged up by 0.02% to $68.34.

A surprise drop in US crude inventories and renewed focus on peace talks in Ukraine are shaping oil market dynamics.
The Druzhba pipeline has resumed flows to Hungary, while recent strikes raise questions about the energy interests at stake within the European Union.
The resumption of Shell’s drilling operations and the advancement of competing projects are unfolding in a context dominated by the availability of FPSOs and deepwater drilling capacity, which dictate industrial sequencing and development costs.
Indonesia Energy Corporation signs a memorandum of understanding with Aguila Energia to identify oil and gas assets in Brazil, marking a first incursion outside its domestic market.
YPF transfers management of seven conventional zones to Terra Ignis, marking a key step in its strategy to refocus on higher-value projects.
Viper Energy, a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, has completed the acquisition of Sitio Royalties and is raising its production forecast for the third quarter of 2025.
Driven by rising industrial demand and emerging capacities in Asia, the global petrochemicals market is expected to see sustained expansion despite regulatory pressures and raw material cost challenges.
Alnaft and Occidental Petroleum signed two agreements to assess the oil and gas potential of southern Algerian zones, amid rising budgetary pressure and a search for energy stability.
Indian imports of Brazilian crude reach 72,000 barrels per day in the first half of 2025, driven by U.S. sanctions, and are expected to grow with new contracts and upstream projects between Petrobras and Indian refiners.
Oil flows to Hungary and Slovakia via the Russian Druzhba pipeline have been halted, following an attack Budapest attributes to repeated Ukrainian strikes.
After twenty-seven years of inactivity, the offshore Sèmè field sees operations restart under the direction of Akrake Petroleum, with production targeted by the end of 2025.
Petrobras is holding talks with SBM Offshore and Modec to raise output from three strategic FPSOs, two already at full capacity, to capture more value from the high-potential pre-salt fields.
The Canadian company finalized a partial repurchase of its high-yield bonds, well below the initially proposed amount of $48.4 million.
A New York appeals court has temporarily frozen the enforcement of a ruling ordering Argentina to transfer 51% of YPF’s capital, pending review of the appeal filed by Buenos Aires.
The South African judiciary has revoked TotalEnergies’ authorization to explore a 10,000 km² offshore block, forcing the group into a new procedure that includes a public consultation.
Amber Energy, an affiliate of hedge fund Elliott Investment Management, submitted an $8.82bn offer for PDV Holding, intensifying competition in the court-supervised sale process in Delaware.
OPEC's August report reveals Russian production above quotas and commercial dominance in Asia, while Kazakhstan massively exceeds its reduction commitments.
Hundreds of aging tankers transport Russian oil to Asia, circumventing Western sanctions while creating major environmental risks and transforming global trade flows.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects a sharp drop in oil prices, driven by excess supply and an early easing of OPEC+ production cuts.
Afreximbank leads a syndicated financing for the Dangote refinery, including $1.35 billion of its own contribution, to ease debt and stabilise operations at the Nigerian oil complex.

We are making technical adjustments to our item access system.
Temporary display or access problems may occur.
Thank you for your understanding.

Consent Preferences