Trump Warns of Oil Price Surge Following Strikes Against Iran

Donald Trump urges control of oil prices following U.S. military action against Iranian nuclear facilities, amid escalating tensions around the strategic Strait of Hormuz, threatening to significantly impact global markets.

Partagez:

The recent U.S. military operation, named “Midnight Hammer,” against Iranian nuclear infrastructure is causing significant economic concerns related to oil prices. Donald Trump, former President of the United States, directly intervened via the Truth Social platform, explicitly calling on economic actors to control the rise in oil prices. According to him, an uncontrolled price increase would directly benefit interests opposed to those of the United States, worsening global economic tensions. This declaration comes as oil markets are already showing clear signs of volatility.

Immediate Impact on Markets

Shortly after the attack, Brent crude prices peaked at around $81.40 per barrel before dropping back to around $76 in response to political statements. Despite this pullback, uncertainty remains high in the markets, notably influenced by Iran’s threat to close the Strait of Hormuz. This strategic maritime route, through which approximately 20% of global oil trade transits, represents a critical chokepoint capable of significantly affecting prices. Goldman Sachs, an influential player in international finance, estimates that any major disruption to this passage could push prices above $100 per barrel.

Trump’s Political Stance

Donald Trump explicitly called for a rapid increase in domestic oil production in the United States, directly urging the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to act swiftly. His very direct statement, “Drill, baby, drill!”, recalls his previous stances favoring increased energy independence, especially during his presidency. Trump’s stated goal is to immediately mitigate the economic impact of current geopolitical tensions on American consumers and global markets. This speech reflects a proactive approach aimed at quickly managing oil price instability.

International Reactions and Perspectives

Reactions to these events are mixed within the international community, with markets particularly sensitive to rapid developments in the Middle East situation. Traders and investors are closely monitoring political and military developments, anticipating various scenarios depending on upcoming decisions by the United States and Iran. The ability of the United States to swiftly increase domestic production remains one of the major stabilization strategies anticipated by economic analysts. Meanwhile, Iran maintains a firm posture regarding access to the Strait of Hormuz, reinforcing caution in global markets.

Permian Basin Royalty Trust announces a reduced distribution for June due to ongoing excess costs at Waddell Ranch properties and lower volumes from Texas Royalty Properties.
Three months after starting production, Norway’s Johan Castberg oil field, located in the Barents Sea, reaches its full capacity of 220,000 barrels per day, significantly increasing energy supplies to Europe.
The Middle East conflict forces Iraq to delay certain oil developments, disrupting field operations despite temporary stability in production and exports amid growing logistical tensions.
New U.S. estimates reveal nearly 29 billion barrels of oil and 392 Tcf of technically recoverable natural gas on federal lands, marking significant progress since the last assessment in 1998.
The United Kingdom tightens sanctions against Russia's oil sector by targeting twenty tankers operating in the "shadow fleet" and Rosneft Marine, amid rising crude prices exceeding the G7-imposed price cap.
French manufacturer Vallourec will supply Qatar with premium OCTG tubes in a contract worth an estimated $50 million, supporting the planned expansion of oil and gas operations by 2030.
SBM Offshore has secured an operations and maintenance contract from TotalEnergies for the FPSO GranMorgu unit, the first such project in Suriname, covering operational preparation and post-production maintenance for at least two years.
Maurel & Prom acquires additional stakes in two offshore oil blocks in Angola, consolidating its existing assets for an initial sum of $23mn, potentially rising based on market developments and production performance.
Long a major player in OPEC, Iran sees its influence on the oil market significantly reduced due to US sanctions, Israeli strikes, and increasing reliance on exports to China.
After several months of interruption following a major political upheaval, Syria's Banias refinery has shipped its first cargo of refined products abroad, marking a partial revival of its energy sector.
ExxonMobil and its partners have extended the production sharing contract for Block 17 in Angola, securing the continued operation of major infrastructure in a key offshore asset for Africa’s oil sector.
Egypt’s General Petroleum Company discovers a new oil field in Abu Sannan, producing 1,400 barrels per day, confirming growing interest in this mature Western Desert region.
The South Sudanese government is collaborating with Chinese group CNPC to reactivate several major oil fields, aiming to stabilise national production affected by political instability and ongoing technical difficulties.
TotalEnergies takes 25 % of a portfolio of 40 exploration permits on the US Outer Continental Shelf, deepening its partnership with Chevron in the Gulf of Mexico’s deepwater.
OPEC confirms global oil demand estimates for 2025-2026 despite slightly adjusted supply, while several members, including Russia, struggle to meet their production targets under the OPEC+ agreement.
Facing anticipated refusal from G7 countries to lower the Russian oil price cap to $45, the European Union weighs its options, leaving global oil markets awaiting the next European sanctions.
Starting August 15, the Dangote refinery will directly supply gasoline and diesel to Nigerian distributors and industries, expanding its commercial outlets and significantly reshaping the energy landscape of Africa's leading oil producer.
The sudden appearance of hydrocarbon clusters has forced the closure of beaches on the Danish island of Rømø, triggering an urgent municipal investigation and clean-up operation to mitigate local economic impact.
Canadian company Cenovus Energy has fully resumed oil sands production at its Christina Lake site following a wildfire-related shutdown in Alberta.
Argentine company Compañía General de Combustibles is starting operations in the Vaca Muerta shale basin while boosting heavy crude production due to strong local demand and rising prices.