The uncertain future of natural gas in global energy, according to TotalEnergies

The share of natural gas in global energy demand could remain between 22% and 24% by 2050, according to a report by TotalEnergies.

Share:

Avenir incertain du gaz naturel

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25€/month*

*billed annually at 99€/year for the first year then 149,00€/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2€/month*
then 14.90€ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

TotalEnergies has published its annual report, which forecasts that the share of natural gas in global energy demand will remain stable at around 22% to 24% by 2050, regardless of the measures taken to combat global warming.

A different perspective from the IEA

The report, now in its 5th edition, offers a different perspective to that of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which anticipates a peak in demand for gas, oil and coal within the decade.

The role of natural gas in a low-emission system

According to Patrick Pouyanné, CEO of TotalEnergies, to achieve a low-greenhouse-gas-emission electricity system, we need to focus on renewable energies, while using gas as a complement to manage intermittency and ensure system reliability.

TotalEnergies strategy

TotalEnergies is increasingly focusing its strategy on natural gas, especially liquefied gas, rather than oil. Thanks to its investments in wind and solar power, the Group expects to keep its projected carbon footprint stable between now and 2030, while continuing to supply more energy.

Scenarios for the world’s energy future

Helle Kristoffersen, Group Strategy Director, pointed out that many Asian countries and Germany are planning to use more gas and reduce their dependence on coal, which will help reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
TotalEnergies presents three scenarios for the next 30 years, all based on population growth. The worst-case scenario sees a slight reduction in the use of coal and oil, but high demand for gas, leading to a global temperature rise of over 3°C.
The other two scenarios envisage a significant reduction in the use of coal, with positive consequences for limiting global warming.

Ultimately, the future of natural gas in the global energy sector remains uncertain. Decisions taken by governments and businesses will play a decisive role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. TotalEnergies believes that natural gas will remain a necessary complement, but the debate on its use will continue in the years to come.

Pipeline natural gas deliveries from Russia to the European Union dropped by 44% in 2025, reaching their lowest level in five decades following the end of transit via Ukraine.
AltaGas has finalised a labour agreement with union ILWU Local 523B, ending a 28-day strike at its Ridley Island propane terminal, a key hub for Canadian exports to Asia.
Amber Grid has signed an agreement to maintain gas transit to Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave, with a daily capacity cap of 10.5 mn m³ until the end of 2030, under a framework regulated by the European Union.
Lebanon engages in a memorandum of understanding with Egypt to import natural gas and support its electricity production, with infrastructure rehabilitation and active funding searches required to secure delivery.
Australian producer Woodside has signed a binding agreement with Turkish state-owned company BOTAŞ for the delivery of 5.8 billion cubic metres of LNG starting in 2030.
Condor Energies has completed a $13.65mn private financing to deploy a second drilling rig and intensify a 12-well gas programme in Uzbekistan scheduled for 2026.
After a hiatus of more than four years, Myanmar has resumed liquefied natural gas deliveries, receiving a half-cargo in November to supply two state-funded power generation projects.
The Australian government will require up to 25% of gas extracted on the east coast to be reserved for the domestic market from 2027, in response to supply tensions and soaring prices.
Baker Hughes will deliver six gas refrigeration trains for Commonwealth LNG’s 9.5 mtpa export project in Louisiana, under a contract with Technip Energies.
Shanghai Electric begins a combined-cycle expansion project across four Iraqi provinces, aiming to boost energy efficiency by 50% without additional fuel consumption.
Zefiro Methane, through its subsidiary Plants & Goodwin, completes an energy conversion project in Pennsylvania and plans a new well decommissioning operation in Louisiana, expanding its presence to eight US states.
The Council of State has cancelled the authorisation to exploit coalbed methane in Lorraine, citing risks to the region's main aquifer and bringing an end to a legal battle that began over a decade ago.
Japanese power producer JERA will deliver up to 200,000 tonnes of liquefied natural gas annually to Hokkaido Gas starting in 2027 under a newly signed long-term sale agreement.
An agreement announced on December 17, 2025 provides for twenty years of deliveries through 2040. The package amounts to 112 billion new Israeli shekels (Israeli shekels) (NIS), with flows intended to support Egyptian gas supply and Israeli public revenues.
Abu Dhabi’s national oil company has secured a landmark structured financing to accelerate the development of the Hail and Ghasha gas project, while maintaining strategic control over its infrastructure.
U.S.-based Sawgrass LNG & Power celebrates eight consecutive years of LNG exports to The Bahamas, reinforcing its position in regional energy trade.
Kinder Morgan restored the EPNG pipeline capacity at Lordsburg on December 13, ending a constraint that had driven Waha prices negative. The move highlights the Permian’s fragile balance, operating near the limits of its gas evacuation infrastructure.
ENGIE activates key projects in Belgium, including an 875 MW gas-fired plant in Flémalle and a battery storage system in Vilvoorde, to strengthen electricity supply security and grid flexibility.
Hungary has signed a contract with US company Chevron to import 400mn m³ of LNG per year, while maintaining a structural dependence on Russian gas through a long-term agreement with Gazprom.
Chevron Australia awards Subsea7 a major contract for subsea installation on the Gorgon Stage 3 project, with offshore operations scheduled for 2028 at 1,350 metres depth.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25€/month*

*billed annually at 99€/year for the first year then 149,00€/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2€/month*
then 14.90€ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.