The hydrogen sector slowed by financial and strategic uncertainties

Despite growing demand and strategic industrial opportunities, the hydrogen sector is hindered by financial difficulties and structural uncertainties.

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The hydrogen industry, seen as a strategic lever to decarbonize industrial and transport sectors, continues to face persistent challenges. At the Hyvolution trade show in Paris, which gathered 530 international exhibitors, industry players showcased promising advancements but also highlighted obstacles that are slowing their progress.

A sector in search of capital

In France, efforts to build an industrial hydrogen sector are multiplying, with the development of gigafactories for electrolyzers and mobility projects such as hydrogen-powered taxis and utility vehicles. However, these initiatives remain insufficient to trigger a real scaling-up.

According to Philippe Boucly, president of France Hydrogène, “the planned budgetary support for production is still pending,” as is the revision of the national hydrogen strategy. Across Europe, only 3% of announced projects in 2024 received final investment approval, according to an analysis by EY. This represents a production capacity of 300,000 tons of decarbonized hydrogen, far from the 10 million tons the European Union aims to produce by 2030.

Underdeveloped infrastructure

The competitiveness of green hydrogen remains a critical issue. The market is dominated by grey hydrogen, produced through steam methane reforming, a method still widely used but highly CO2-intensive. In 2023, global hydrogen production resulted in 920 million tons of CO2 emissions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). To reverse this trend, industrial players need to deploy costly infrastructure, such as electrolyzers and distribution networks, while ensuring a reliable supply of low-carbon electricity.

China, having gained a significant lead in the production and integration of these technologies, adds additional pressure for European players. In Europe, the lack of public support and delays in approvals are holding back the industry’s growth.

Quotas and competitiveness levers

A recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) identifies three major obstacles: high costs, reluctance from clients to pay a premium for green hydrogen, and uncertainties around public subsidies. To bridge this gap, some experts advocate introducing mandatory quotas in specific sectors.

In aviation, for instance, Europe plans that starting in 2030, 1.2% of fuels must include synthetic components based on hydrogen, with this figure rising to 35% by 2050. These quotas could become a driver for structuring the market and attracting new investments, but they require close coordination between regulators and industry players.

EDF power solutions has inaugurated a hydrogen pilot plant at the Norte Fluminense thermal power plant, with an investment of BRL4.5mn ($882,000), as part of Aneel's R&D programme.
Plug Power plans to generate $275mn by divesting assets and reallocating investments to the data center market, as part of a strategy focused on returns and financial discipline.
GreenH launches construction of three green hydrogen projects in Bodø, Kristiansund and Slagentangen, backed by NOK391mn ($35.86mn) in public funding, aiming to strengthen decarbonised maritime supply along Norway’s coast.
Nel ASA becomes technology provider for the Enova-supported hydrogen sites in Kristiansund and Slagentangen, with a combined minimum capacity of 20 MW.
French hydrogen producer Lhyfe has signed an agreement to supply 90 tonnes of RFNBO-certified hydrogen to a private fuel station operator in Germany for a fleet of buses.
Loblaw and FortisBC are trialling a hydrogen-powered heavy truck between Vancouver and Squamish, marking a step in the integration of low-emission solutions in Canada’s grocery logistics.
Next Hydrogen announces a private equity placement of CAD$20mn to CAD$30mn ($14.55mn to $21.83mn), led by Smoothwater Capital, to accelerate the commercialisation of its electrolyzers and support its industrial growth.
Transition Industries signed a long-term purchase agreement with Mitsubishi Gas Chemical for the annual supply of 1mn tonnes of ultra-low carbon methanol starting in 2029, from its Pacifico Mexinol project in Mexico.
Norwegian group Nel ASA has received a firm order worth over $50mn to supply its PEM electrolysers for two green hydrogen production units in Florø and Eigersund.
Driven by aerospace, industrial gas, and hydrogen investment, the global liquid hydrogen micro-storage systems market is projected to grow 9% annually through 2034.
The suspension of ARCHES is not slowing hydrogen initiatives in California, where public authorities are accelerating projects for production, transport and use of the fuel in local infrastructure.
The HySynergy I plant produces eight tons of hydrogen per day from renewable energy and marks a new milestone in the deployment of low-carbon hydrogen in Europe, with medium-term expansion projects.
Ahead of Hyd’Occ’s commissioning, Qair hosts hydrogen sector operators and decision-makers in Béziers to coordinate the industrial integration of local production into regional transport.
Plug Power has signed a supply agreement with Allied Biofuels to equip a sustainable fuel production site in Uzbekistan, bringing total contracted capacity with Allied partners to 5 GW.
RIC Energy and Siemens have signed a strategic agreement to develop industrial projects in renewable hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuel, and green ammonia, focusing on two key sites in Spain.
Element One obtains an exclusive option to acquire up to 100% of Stone to H2, a New York-based company holding patented technology for hydrogen and critical mineral extraction from ultramafic rock.
Elogen will supply a 1 MW PEM electrolyser for a cogeneration plant operated by Veolia Energia Slovensko, in partnership with RoyalStav, near Žiar nad Hronom.
Researchers have designed a system that combines two ammonia production technologies to reduce costs, optimise industrial efficiency and significantly cut greenhouse gas emissions.
U.S.-based Utility will build a hydrogen production and certification facility in Seongnam, using biogas, marking a strategic step for the expansion of its H2Gen® technology in the South Korean market.
HTEC has inaugurated a clean hydrogen production facility in Burnaby, British Columbia, marking the launch of the province’s first commercial-scale electrolyzer, with a combined production capacity of 1.8 tonnes of clean hydrogen per day.

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