The hydrogen sector slowed by financial and strategic uncertainties

Despite growing demand and strategic industrial opportunities, the hydrogen sector is hindered by financial difficulties and structural uncertainties.

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The hydrogen industry, seen as a strategic lever to decarbonize industrial and transport sectors, continues to face persistent challenges. At the Hyvolution trade show in Paris, which gathered 530 international exhibitors, industry players showcased promising advancements but also highlighted obstacles that are slowing their progress.

A sector in search of capital

In France, efforts to build an industrial hydrogen sector are multiplying, with the development of gigafactories for electrolyzers and mobility projects such as hydrogen-powered taxis and utility vehicles. However, these initiatives remain insufficient to trigger a real scaling-up.

According to Philippe Boucly, president of France Hydrogène, “the planned budgetary support for production is still pending,” as is the revision of the national hydrogen strategy. Across Europe, only 3% of announced projects in 2024 received final investment approval, according to an analysis by EY. This represents a production capacity of 300,000 tons of decarbonized hydrogen, far from the 10 million tons the European Union aims to produce by 2030.

Underdeveloped infrastructure

The competitiveness of green hydrogen remains a critical issue. The market is dominated by grey hydrogen, produced through steam methane reforming, a method still widely used but highly CO2-intensive. In 2023, global hydrogen production resulted in 920 million tons of CO2 emissions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). To reverse this trend, industrial players need to deploy costly infrastructure, such as electrolyzers and distribution networks, while ensuring a reliable supply of low-carbon electricity.

China, having gained a significant lead in the production and integration of these technologies, adds additional pressure for European players. In Europe, the lack of public support and delays in approvals are holding back the industry’s growth.

Quotas and competitiveness levers

A recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) identifies three major obstacles: high costs, reluctance from clients to pay a premium for green hydrogen, and uncertainties around public subsidies. To bridge this gap, some experts advocate introducing mandatory quotas in specific sectors.

In aviation, for instance, Europe plans that starting in 2030, 1.2% of fuels must include synthetic components based on hydrogen, with this figure rising to 35% by 2050. These quotas could become a driver for structuring the market and attracting new investments, but they require close coordination between regulators and industry players.

European Energy increases the capacity of its Måde Power-to-X site to 8.1 MW, with a new electrolyser in service and ongoing tests for commercial production in 2026.
Lhyfe aims to double its revenue next year, refocuses industrial priorities and plans a 30% cost reduction starting in 2026 to accelerate profitability.
Plug Power has completed the installation of a 5 MW PEM electrolyzer for Cleanergy Solutions Namibia, marking the launch of Africa’s first fully integrated green hydrogen production and distribution site.
Indian group AM Green has signed a memorandum of understanding with Japanese conglomerate Mitsui to co-finance a one million tonne per year integrated low-carbon aluminium production platform.
Next Hydrogen completes a $20.7mn private placement led by Smoothwater Capital, boosting its ability to commercialise alkaline electrolysers at scale and altering the company’s control structure.
Primary Hydrogen plans to launch its initial drilling programme at the Wicheeda North site upon receiving its permit in early 2026, while restructuring its internal exploration functions.
Gasunie and Thyssengas have signed an agreement to convert existing gas pipelines into hydrogen conduits between the Netherlands and Germany, facilitating integration of Dutch ports with German industrial regions.
The conditional power supply agreement for the Holmaneset project is extended to 2029, covering a ten-year electricity delivery period, as Fortescue continues feasibility studies.
HDF Energy partners with ABB to design a multi-megawatt hydrogen fuel cell system for vessel propulsion and auxiliary power, strengthening their position in the global maritime market.
SONATRACH continues its integration strategy into the green hydrogen market, with the support of European partners, through the Algeria to Europe Hydrogen Alliance (ALTEH2A) and the SoutH2 Corridor, aimed at supplying Europe with clean energy.
Operator GASCADE has converted 400 kilometres of gas pipelines into a strategic hydrogen corridor between the Baltic Sea and Saxony-Anhalt, now operational.
Lummus Technology and Advanced Ionics have started construction of a pilot unit in Pasadena to test a new high-efficiency electrolysis technology, marking a step toward large-scale green hydrogen production.
Nel ASA launches the industrial phase of its pressurised alkaline technology, with an initial 1 GW production capacity and EU support of up to EUR135mn ($146mn).
Peregrine Hydrogen and Tasmania Energy Metals have signed a letter of intent to install an innovative electrolysis technology at the future nickel processing site in Bell Bay, Tasmania.
Elemental Clean Fuels will develop a 10-megawatt green hydrogen production facility in Kamloops, in partnership with Sc.wén̓wen Economic Development and Kruger Kamloops Pulp L.P., to replace part of the natural gas used at the industrial site.
Driven by green hydrogen demand and state-backed industrial plans, the global electrolyser market could reach $42.4bn by 2034, according to the latest forecast by Future Market Insights.
Driven by mobility and alkaline electrolysis, the global green hydrogen market is projected to grow at a rate of 60 % annually, reaching $74.81bn in 2032 from $2.79bn in 2025.
Plug Power will supply a 5MW PEM electrolyser to Hy2gen’s Sunrhyse project in Signes, marking a key step in expanding RFNBO-certified hydrogen in southern France.
The cross-border hydrogen transport network HY4Link receives recognition from the European Commission as a project of common interest, unlocking access to funding and integration into Europe’s energy infrastructure.
The withdrawal of Stellantis weakens Symbio, which is forced to drastically reduce its workforce at the Saint-Fons plant, despite significant industrial investment backed by both public and private stakeholders.

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