The hydrogen sector slowed by financial and strategic uncertainties

Despite growing demand and strategic industrial opportunities, the hydrogen sector is hindered by financial difficulties and structural uncertainties.

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The hydrogen industry, seen as a strategic lever to decarbonize industrial and transport sectors, continues to face persistent challenges. At the Hyvolution trade show in Paris, which gathered 530 international exhibitors, industry players showcased promising advancements but also highlighted obstacles that are slowing their progress.

A sector in search of capital

In France, efforts to build an industrial hydrogen sector are multiplying, with the development of gigafactories for electrolyzers and mobility projects such as hydrogen-powered taxis and utility vehicles. However, these initiatives remain insufficient to trigger a real scaling-up.

According to Philippe Boucly, president of France Hydrogène, “the planned budgetary support for production is still pending,” as is the revision of the national hydrogen strategy. Across Europe, only 3% of announced projects in 2024 received final investment approval, according to an analysis by EY. This represents a production capacity of 300,000 tons of decarbonized hydrogen, far from the 10 million tons the European Union aims to produce by 2030.

Underdeveloped infrastructure

The competitiveness of green hydrogen remains a critical issue. The market is dominated by grey hydrogen, produced through steam methane reforming, a method still widely used but highly CO2-intensive. In 2023, global hydrogen production resulted in 920 million tons of CO2 emissions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). To reverse this trend, industrial players need to deploy costly infrastructure, such as electrolyzers and distribution networks, while ensuring a reliable supply of low-carbon electricity.

China, having gained a significant lead in the production and integration of these technologies, adds additional pressure for European players. In Europe, the lack of public support and delays in approvals are holding back the industry’s growth.

Quotas and competitiveness levers

A recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) identifies three major obstacles: high costs, reluctance from clients to pay a premium for green hydrogen, and uncertainties around public subsidies. To bridge this gap, some experts advocate introducing mandatory quotas in specific sectors.

In aviation, for instance, Europe plans that starting in 2030, 1.2% of fuels must include synthetic components based on hydrogen, with this figure rising to 35% by 2050. These quotas could become a driver for structuring the market and attracting new investments, but they require close coordination between regulators and industry players.

Global hydrogen development, supported by more than 1,500 ongoing projects and significant investments, is driving strong demand for insurance coverage, with potential estimated at over USD3bn in annual premiums by 2030.
ArcelorMittal Brazil begins a collaboration with Utility Global to develop a clean hydrogen project using the patented H2Gen system, aimed at producing up to 3 tons per day at the Juiz de Fora plant.
ENERTRAG announces the acquisition of a plot in Prenzlau to install a 130 megawatt green hydrogen production unit, with a planned investment of €300 mn, thereby supporting the regional economy and local industrial sector.
H2APEX Group SCA has completed a EUR30mn ($32.5mn) capital increase to finance the acquisition of HH2E Werk Lubmin GmbH and support the development of its hydrogen project in Germany. —
Next Hydrogen launches the largest onsite clean hydrogen production and distribution station in Ontario, capable of supplying up to 650 kg per day for powering fuel cell forklifts.
A 5,500-horsepower harbour vessel was bunkered with green ammonia at the Dalian terminal, marking the creation of a full value chain for this fuel and a technical milestone for the maritime sector.
Air Liquide begins construction of the ELYgator electrolyser in Rotterdam, a 200 MW project, supported by the Dutch government and an investment exceeding €500 mn.
A pilot project in Germany aims to produce green hydrogen at sea directly from untreated seawater on offshore wind farms, using marine bacteria and robust materials.
BP withdraws from the Australian Renewable Energy Hub, a major renewable hydrogen and ammonia project in the Pilbara region, marking a new stage for energy investments in Australia.
Next Hydrogen raises CAD1.5mn from its management and a commercial lender to strengthen its cash flow and retain teams, while maintaining its review of financial and strategic solutions.
The first European citizen funding campaign dedicated to green hydrogen enabled Lhyfe to collect €2.5mn from nearly 1,200 investors, strengthening the development of new sites in France and Germany.
In the face of renewable energy intermittency, Power-to-Hydrogen-to-Power (PtP) technology could revolutionize energy storage. However, its adoption still depends on cost reduction and efficiency improvements.
South Korean company YPP and Kazakh Invest have signed a framework agreement for the development of a green hydrogen production project in Kazakhstan, with investments potentially reaching $3.1 billion.
The Dutch government has granted major funding to HyCC for its H2eron electrolysis project, aimed at producing renewable hydrogen in the Delfzijl industrial zone.
ACWA Power has signed several agreements with European partners to develop a green energy export chain between Saudi Arabia and Europe, as part of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor project.
Manufacturer Stellantis halts production of its hydrogen-powered commercial vehicles, citing a lack of commercial prospects and an insufficient market, according to a statement released by the automotive group.
Malaysia reaches a decisive milestone in its energy roadmap with the launch of a hybrid floating hydro-solar project and the first large-scale green hydrogen hub in the state of Terengganu.
Hynamics UK and Hy24 have signed an exclusive agreement to develop the Fawley Green Hydrogen project, backed by the UK HAR2 scheme, to supply green hydrogen to ExxonMobil's petrochemical complex.
China has approved the construction of a strategic pipeline to transport green hydrogen from Inner Mongolia to Beijing, facilitating supply to industrial zones around the capital and boosting a rapidly expanding energy economy.
The European Commission introduces a greenhouse gas emissions methodology for low-carbon hydrogen, establishing a long-awaited regulatory framework for the sector and paving the way for new industrial investments.