The hydrogen sector slowed by financial and strategic uncertainties

Despite growing demand and strategic industrial opportunities, the hydrogen sector is hindered by financial difficulties and structural uncertainties.

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The hydrogen industry, seen as a strategic lever to decarbonize industrial and transport sectors, continues to face persistent challenges. At the Hyvolution trade show in Paris, which gathered 530 international exhibitors, industry players showcased promising advancements but also highlighted obstacles that are slowing their progress.

A sector in search of capital

In France, efforts to build an industrial hydrogen sector are multiplying, with the development of gigafactories for electrolyzers and mobility projects such as hydrogen-powered taxis and utility vehicles. However, these initiatives remain insufficient to trigger a real scaling-up.

According to Philippe Boucly, president of France Hydrogène, “the planned budgetary support for production is still pending,” as is the revision of the national hydrogen strategy. Across Europe, only 3% of announced projects in 2024 received final investment approval, according to an analysis by EY. This represents a production capacity of 300,000 tons of decarbonized hydrogen, far from the 10 million tons the European Union aims to produce by 2030.

Underdeveloped infrastructure

The competitiveness of green hydrogen remains a critical issue. The market is dominated by grey hydrogen, produced through steam methane reforming, a method still widely used but highly CO2-intensive. In 2023, global hydrogen production resulted in 920 million tons of CO2 emissions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). To reverse this trend, industrial players need to deploy costly infrastructure, such as electrolyzers and distribution networks, while ensuring a reliable supply of low-carbon electricity.

China, having gained a significant lead in the production and integration of these technologies, adds additional pressure for European players. In Europe, the lack of public support and delays in approvals are holding back the industry’s growth.

Quotas and competitiveness levers

A recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) identifies three major obstacles: high costs, reluctance from clients to pay a premium for green hydrogen, and uncertainties around public subsidies. To bridge this gap, some experts advocate introducing mandatory quotas in specific sectors.

In aviation, for instance, Europe plans that starting in 2030, 1.2% of fuels must include synthetic components based on hydrogen, with this figure rising to 35% by 2050. These quotas could become a driver for structuring the market and attracting new investments, but they require close coordination between regulators and industry players.

The majority-Indigenous-owned Canadian manufacturer HyVera Distributed Energy is introducing an eCat pellet that instantly produces ultra-pure green hydrogen without external electricity and is counting on two pilot plants to simplify industrial supply.
Underground hydrogen storage, essential to support its growth, continues to face significantly higher costs than natural gas storage, along with major technical challenges hindering its competitiveness against conventional energies.
Singapore-based hydrogen specialist Hydrexia seals a protocol with Indonesian gas giant Samator to deploy purification, transport and storage of hydrogen, betting on rapidly growing local demand and export outlets to the Asia-Pacific region.
Cadiz Inc. signs a memorandum of understanding with British company Hoku Energy for a large-scale energy project including green hydrogen, solar power, and digital infrastructure in the Californian desert, projecting annual revenues of up to $10mn.
BP indefinitely halts its blue hydrogen project at the Whiting refinery in Indiana, raising questions about the future of federal funding and the impact on regional plans for a decarbonized hydrogen sector in the United States.
The Polish energy group ORLEN receives a non-repayable grant of €382 million from the National Recovery Plan to finance its renewable and low-emission hydrogen production initiatives.
Georgia Power and Mitsubishi Power announce successful completion of an unprecedented test incorporating 50% hydrogen into an advanced gas turbine, reducing CO2 emissions by 22% compared to natural gas alone.
Neoenergia has begun construction of one of Brazil's first green hydrogen plants, aimed at supplying heavy and light vehicles, with an investment exceeding 30 million Brazilian reais ($5.99mn).
The SA-H2 fund, supported by international partnerships and local institutional backing, mobilises 37 million USD to develop export-oriented green hydrogen from South Africa, with an initial concrete project announced.
Turbotech reports successful combustion testing of a hydrogen turboprop, developed through digital simulation with Ansys, marking an industrial milestone in light aircraft using alternative fuel.
France Hydrogène responds to the Cour des Comptes report published on June 5, criticising an incomplete reading of updated targets and the economic impacts of decarbonised hydrogen development.
The Belfort Commercial Court has opened a judicial reorganisation procedure for McPhy, while a renewed call for tenders for its asset sale is now set to close on 13 June.
Plug Power CFO Paul Middleton acquired 650,000 shares on the market, affirming his support for the long-term strategy of the hydrogen-focused company.
The Canadian government is funding an initiative to support 40 SMEs in British Columbia’s hydrogen sector, aiming to increase foreign investment and expand international market share.
Developer CWP Global has paused its $40 billion AMAN project in Mauritania due to a lack of buyers for green ammonia despite favourable local conditions.
A study reveals that the profitability of African green hydrogen exports to the European Union depends on political support from Europe, despite the abundance of ongoing projects on the continent.
Plug Power expands its partnership with Allied Green through a new 2 GW electrolyzer deal tied to a $5.5bn chemical plant in Uzbekistan.
Stargate Hydrogen launches 140 MW factory in Estonia with modular expansion model amid cautious hydrogen investment climate.
The European Commission is considering legal action over RED III delays, as regulatory uncertainty slows renewable hydrogen projects and Union-wide investment.
The Cour des comptes warns of the gap between France’s hydrogen ambitions and the reality of funding and available industrial capacity.