popular articles

Shell forecasts a 60% increase in global LNG demand by 2040

Global demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) is expected to rise by 60% by 2040, driven by economic growth in Asia, emissions reduction efforts in industry and transport, and the impact of artificial intelligence, according to Shell.

Please share:

Global demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) is set to grow significantly over the next two decades, with an estimated 60% increase by 2040. According to Shell’s LNG Outlook 2025, this expansion will be largely driven by economic growth in Asia, the energy transition in industry and transport, and the increasing role of artificial intelligence (AI) in energy network optimisation. Revised projections indicate that LNG consumption could reach between 630 and 718 million tonnes per year by 2040, exceeding previous forecasts.

Strong demand driven by China and India

Asian economies are playing a central role in the LNG boom, particularly China and India, which are heavily investing in expanding their gas infrastructure. China plans to increase its LNG import capacity and expand its gas pipeline networks to reach 150 million people by 2030. Meanwhile, India continues its natural gas development, aiming to add connections for 30 million households over the next five years.

Growing adoption in the maritime transport sector

The maritime sector is also a key driver of LNG growth. Orders for LNG-powered vessels are increasing, with demand expected to exceed 16 million tonnes per year by 2030, a 60% rise compared to previous forecasts. LNG is becoming a strategic fuel for shipping and road transport due to its cost-effectiveness and emissions reduction benefits. It also paves the way for the integration of alternative fuels such as bio-LNG and synthetic LNG.

The United States and Qatar leading exports

LNG production will be dominated by two major players: the United States and Qatar. The United States is set to strengthen its position as the world’s leading LNG exporter, with volumes potentially reaching 180 million tonnes per year by 2030, accounting for nearly a third of global supply. However, uncertainty remains regarding the timeline for new projects, which could impact supply capacity.

Market tensions and price volatility

In 2024, global LNG trade experienced moderate growth, with an increase of just 2 million tonnes—the lowest in a decade—due to slowed supply development. After falling to their lowest levels since early 2022, LNG prices rebounded mid-year as delays in new projects impacted availability.

In Europe, LNG imports declined by 19%, or 23 million tonnes, due to increased renewable energy generation and limited industrial demand recovery. However, towards the end of the year, colder winter temperatures and intermittent wind power generation drove strong demand for gas storage. The expiration of Russian pipeline gas deliveries to Europe via Ukraine on 31 December 2024 further contributed to rising gas prices. Europe is expected to increase LNG imports in 2025 to replenish its gas reserves.

Register free of charge for uninterrupted access.

Publicite

Recently published in

Saudi Arabia plans to reduce its reliance on oil for electricity generation by using more natural gas. This change could free up to 350,000 barrels of crude per day by 2030.
The Miami-based liquefied natural gas (LNG) provider announces its name change, marking its expansion into energy solutions while consolidating its commitment to reliable and affordable LNG solutions.
The Miami-based liquefied natural gas (LNG) provider announces its name change, marking its expansion into energy solutions while consolidating its commitment to reliable and affordable LNG solutions.
Morocco is implementing a liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal project at Nador West Med to diversify its energy supply sources and reduce its dependence on coal.
Morocco is implementing a liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal project at Nador West Med to diversify its energy supply sources and reduce its dependence on coal.
Woodside has signed LNG sale and purchase agreements with Uniper, securing the supply of 2 million tonnes per year, confirming strong global demand for LNG.
Woodside has signed LNG sale and purchase agreements with Uniper, securing the supply of 2 million tonnes per year, confirming strong global demand for LNG.
Baker Hughes posted strong quarterly results, driven by a 9% increase in orders for its Industrial & Energy Technology division, despite a 50% drop in cash flow during the same period.
Malaysia LNG is progressively resuming operations following an unexpected shutdown of key modules at Bintulu due to a boiler malfunction, raising questions about the impacts on Asian and international liquefied natural gas markets.
Malaysia LNG is progressively resuming operations following an unexpected shutdown of key modules at Bintulu due to a boiler malfunction, raising questions about the impacts on Asian and international liquefied natural gas markets.
French group GTT anticipates growing demand for LNG tankers following the revival of liquefied natural gas terminal projects in the United States under President Donald Trump’s leadership.
French group GTT anticipates growing demand for LNG tankers following the revival of liquefied natural gas terminal projects in the United States under President Donald Trump’s leadership.
Eni and YPF have signed a memorandum of understanding to evaluate Eni's participation in the Argentina LNG project, aimed at developing resources from the Vaca Muerta gas field and exporting up to 30 million tons of LNG per year.
Eni and YPF have signed a memorandum of understanding to evaluate Eni's participation in the Argentina LNG project, aimed at developing resources from the Vaca Muerta gas field and exporting up to 30 million tons of LNG per year.
bp has safely loaded the first liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo from the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) Phase 1 project, marking Mauritania and Senegal’s entry into the global LNG export market.
Eni is set to award a $2.5bn contract for a new floating LNG unit off Mozambique, aiming to intensify the development of the Coral North gas field.
Eni is set to award a $2.5bn contract for a new floating LNG unit off Mozambique, aiming to intensify the development of the Coral North gas field.
TotalEnergies expands its liquefied natural gas portfolio with a long-term supply deal in Texas and a sales contract to the Dominican Republic starting in 2027.
TotalEnergies expands its liquefied natural gas portfolio with a long-term supply deal in Texas and a sales contract to the Dominican Republic starting in 2027.
The coal-fired plant in Saint-Avold will be converted to gas and biogas under a recently approved law, preserving 500 jobs without public financial support.
The coal-fired plant in Saint-Avold will be converted to gas and biogas under a recently approved law, preserving 500 jobs without public financial support.
Mubadala Energy acquires 24.1% of Kimmeridge’s SoTex HoldCo, marking its first foray into the US gas and LNG market.
China is increasing imports of Russian liquefied petroleum gas, but Russia's infrastructure limitations complicate the complete replacement of U.S. LPG, despite joint projects aimed at overcoming these constraints by late 2025.
China is increasing imports of Russian liquefied petroleum gas, but Russia's infrastructure limitations complicate the complete replacement of U.S. LPG, despite joint projects aimed at overcoming these constraints by late 2025.
A lasting peace in Ukraine could revive Russian exports to Europe and weigh on the future of liquefied natural gas projects in the United States.
A lasting peace in Ukraine could revive Russian exports to Europe and weigh on the future of liquefied natural gas projects in the United States.
Reconnaissance Energy Africa Ltd. continues preparations at Prospect I, located in licence PEL73 in Namibia, aiming for 365 million barrels of unrisked oil resources.
Reconnaissance Energy Africa Ltd. continues preparations at Prospect I, located in licence PEL73 in Namibia, aiming for 365 million barrels of unrisked oil resources.
Baghdad has signed a strategic agreement with GE Vernova to build natural gas power plants totalling 24,000 MW, as the country seeks to reduce its energy dependence on Iran.
Italian group Snam will acquire nearly a quarter of Open Grid Europe for €920mn, expanding its gas infrastructure presence in Germany, subject to regulatory approvals expected by the third quarter of 2025.
Italian group Snam will acquire nearly a quarter of Open Grid Europe for €920mn, expanding its gas infrastructure presence in Germany, subject to regulatory approvals expected by the third quarter of 2025.
Perenco will acquire Woodside’s oil and gas assets in Trinidad and Tobago, expanding its national output beyond 500 million standard cubic feet per day following expected closing by the third quarter of 2025.
Perenco will acquire Woodside’s oil and gas assets in Trinidad and Tobago, expanding its national output beyond 500 million standard cubic feet per day following expected closing by the third quarter of 2025.
Sasol confirms the launch in September 2025 of a key gas project to supply a major power station in Mozambique, following an unexplained delay from the originally scheduled March date.
Sasol confirms the launch in September 2025 of a key gas project to supply a major power station in Mozambique, following an unexplained delay from the originally scheduled March date.
Bulgaria will begin expanding its gas network in the coming weeks, a cornerstone of the "The Vertical" project aimed at strengthening regional energy security following the halt of Russian transit through Ukraine.
TAQA will lead the construction and operation of a 1 GW gas-fired power plant in Al Dhafra as part of a strategic partnership with EWEC, supporting a total energy infrastructure investment of AED36bn in Abu Dhabi.
TAQA will lead the construction and operation of a 1 GW gas-fired power plant in Al Dhafra as part of a strategic partnership with EWEC, supporting a total energy infrastructure investment of AED36bn in Abu Dhabi.
The bp Trinidad and Tobago joint venture has launched production at the offshore Cypre field, marking bp’s second major start-up in 2025 and strengthening its shallow-water footprint in the region.
The bp Trinidad and Tobago joint venture has launched production at the offshore Cypre field, marking bp’s second major start-up in 2025 and strengthening its shallow-water footprint in the region.
Shell has finalised the acquisition of Pavilion Energy in Singapore, integrating a portfolio of 6.5 mtpa LNG contracts, regasification capacity, and bunkering activities.
Shell has finalised the acquisition of Pavilion Energy in Singapore, integrating a portfolio of 6.5 mtpa LNG contracts, regasification capacity, and bunkering activities.

Advertising