OPEC relies on China to support oil demand

OPEC forecasts a persistent increase in global oil demand in the second half of 2023 and into 2024, supported in particular by a continued rebound in the Chinese economy. The cartel estimates that demand will increase by 2.2 million barrels per day in 2024, with strong growth expected in non-OECD countries, particularly China, the Middle East and other Asian countries.

Share:

OPEP

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is counting on a persistent rebound in the Chinese economy to support oil demand growth in the second half of 2023 and into 2024, according to the cartel’s latest monthly report published on Thursday.

Global oil demand is set to rise in 2024, according to OPEC and the IEA.

“For 2024, global oil demand is expected to increase by 2.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) to around 104.25 mb/d”, according to an initial assessment by OPEC, which revises its forecasts every month.

Non-OECD countries are “expected to drive growth”, to the tune of almost 2.0 mb/d, according to the cartel, which points primarily to China, the Middle East and other Asian countries for the bulk of this growth, also supported by India, Latin America and Africa. For 2023, OPEC is maintaining its growth forecast, revised very slightly upwards to 2.4 mb/d compared with 2022, for global demand of 102 mb/d, compared with 101.9 mb/d estimated last month.

Here again, OPEC points to “the strongest demand in China in the second quarter of 2023”. “Key countries” in oil consumption, including China and India, as well as other developing economies in Asia, will continue to experience strong growth “and will be responsible for almost half of global economic growth next year”, OPEC estimates, subject to a further decline in inflation.

For its part, the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that world oil demand should reach 102.1 mb/d in 2023, a record despite a downward revision of the forecast due to the global economic slowdown. On the supply side, OPEC forecasts an increase of 1.4 mb/d in 2024.

OPEC+ countries (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies) recently announced production cuts to support prices. In June, production by OPEC members held steady, rising very slightly by 91,000 b/d to 28.19 mb/d, according to indirect sources cited in the report.

  • Populaires ​
China and the United States improve their energy performance in an unstable global context
The Indonesian-Chinese lithium-ion battery plant will open with 6.9 GWh in 2026
Renewable energy: access improving, but financing still insufficient for Africa
Enbridge Gas Ohio challenges tariff ruling cutting its revenues by $30mn
Natural hydrogen: France on the verge of redefining its national and European energy strategy
Mauritania: Sonatrach and SMH launch strategic partnership in downstream oil sector
Facing an under-equipped downstream sector, Mauritania partners with Sonatrach to create a joint venture aiming to structure petroleum products distribution and reduce import dependency, without yet disclosing specific investments.
Dalinar Energy wins recommendation to acquire Citgo with $7.38bn bid
Dalinar Energy, a subsidiary of Gold Reserve, receives official recommendation from a US court to acquire PDV Holdings, the parent company of refiner Citgo Petroleum, with a $7.38bn bid, despite a higher competing offer from Vitol.
Global Oil Exploration Investments Decline, a First Since 2020
Oil companies may reduce their exploration and production budgets in 2025, driven by geopolitical tensions and financial caution, according to a new report by U.S. banking group JP Morgan.
US oil inventories unexpectedly rise by 3.8 million barrels
Commercial oil inventories in the United States rose unexpectedly last week, mainly driven by a sharp decline in exports and a significant increase in imports, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
TotalEnergies acquires 25% stake in Block 53 in Suriname and strengthens its offshore presence
TotalEnergies acquires a 25% stake in Block 53 offshore Suriname, joining APA and Petronas after an agreement with Moeve, thereby consolidating its expansion strategy in the region.
Prax Group files for insolvency in the UK after losses at Lindsey refinery
British company Prax Group has filed for insolvency, putting hundreds of jobs at its Lindsey oil site at risk, according to Sky News.
Orlen ends Russian oil purchases for Czech refinery after contract expiry
Orlen announces the definitive halt of its Russian oil purchases for the Czech Republic, marking the end of deliveries by Rosneft following the contract expiry, amid evolving logistics and diversification of regional supply sources.
Adura becomes the leading independent oil and gas producer in the North Sea
Equinor and Shell launch Adura, a new joint venture consolidating their main offshore assets in the United Kingdom, aiming to secure energy supply with an expected production of over 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
Equinor discovers up to 15 mn barrels of oil at Johan Castberg in the Barents Sea
Equinor announces a new oil discovery estimated at between 9 and 15 mn barrels at the Johan Castberg field in the Barents Sea, strengthening the reserve potential in Norway's northern region.
Sierra Leone launches extensive offshore oil exploration with 60 potential blocks
Sierra Leone relaunches an ambitious offshore exploration campaign, using a 3D seismic survey to evaluate up to 60 potential oil blocks before opening a new licensing round as early as next October.
Zambia restructures petroleum logistics to stabilise energy supply
Faced with recurrent shortages, Zambia is reorganising its fuel supply chain, notably issuing licences for operating new tanker trucks and service stations to enhance national energy security and reduce external dependence.
Grangemouth Closure: UK Oil Stocks at Highest Level in Three Years
The closure of the Grangemouth refinery has triggered a record increase in UK oil inventories, highlighting growing dependence on imports and an expanding deficit in domestic refining capacity.
Mexco Energy reports 27% increase in annual profit
Mexco Energy Corporation reports an annual net profit of $1.71mn, up 27%, driven by increased hydrocarbon production despite persistently weak natural gas prices in the Permian Basin.
S&P downgrades Ecopetrol to BB, Moody’s maintains Ba1 rating
S&P Global Ratings lowers Ecopetrol's global rating to BB following Colombia's sovereign downgrade, while Moody’s Investors Service confirms the group's Ba1 rating with a stable outlook.
Shell officially rules out any takeover offer for rival BP
Shell group publicly clarifies it is neither considering discussions nor approaches for a potential takeover of its British rival BP, putting an end to recent media speculation about a possible merger between the two oil giants.
Chinese independent refiners poised to increase fuel oil imports
The anticipated increase in the tax deduction rate may encourage independent refineries in Shandong to restart fuel oil imports, compensating for limited crude oil import quotas.
Petro-Victory launches fully-funded drilling campaign in Brazil
Petro-Victory Energy Corp. starts drilling of the AND-5 well in the Potiguar Basin, Brazil, as the first phase of an operation financed through its strategic partnership with Azevedo & Travassos Energia.
Port of Corpus Christi expands capacity for large oil tankers
The Texan Port of Corpus Christi has completed major widening and deepening work designed to accommodate more supertankers, thus strengthening its strategic position in the US market for crude oil and liquefied natural gas exports.
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust puts Prudhoe Bay royalty up for sale
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust is offering its interest in Prudhoe Bay, North America’s largest oil field, as part of its planned dissolution, assisted by RedOaks Energy Advisors for this strategic asset transaction.
CNOOC partners with KazMunayGas to explore the Zhylyoi subsoil area
CNOOC Limited’s Hong Kong subsidiary and KazMunayGas have concluded a nine-year exploration and production contract covering nine hundred and fifty-eight square kilometres in Kazakhstan, sharing investment and operations equally.

LEGAL

FOSSILS

POLICY

RENEWABLE

PLUS

© XMARKET PUBLISHING

Welcome

Your subscription

Included in this subscription:

COMMUNICATE ON ENERGYNEWS