popular articles

Oil: Opec forecasts unchanged global demand growth for 2023

Opec expects global oil demand to rise in 2023 to a record 101.9 million barrels per day. Despite growing concerns about climate change, fossil fuel consumption continues to grow.

Please share:

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) expects global oil demand to rise by 2.3 million barrels per day in 2023 from a year ago to an average of 101.9 million barrels, according to the cartel’s latest monthly report, which confirms its overall forecast from last month.

The group of oil exporting countries has nevertheless revised slightly upwards the oil demand of countries outside the OECD, where it should increase by 2.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2023 (against +2.1 mb/d in March), mainly driven by China and India. This slight adjustment is due to “better-than-expected improvements in economic activity in China after the abandonment of its zero COVID-19 policy, as well as further improvements expected in the Middle East, Latin America and other non-OECD European countries.”

Conversely, OECD demand has been revised downwards, and will only increase by just over 0.1 mb/d (compared to a 0.2 mb/d increase forecast in March for 2023) on average compared to last year, taking into account in particular an “anticipated decline in economic activity” in the Americas and OECD Europe.

Despite climate change, the consumption of fossil fuels responsible for climate-damaging greenhouse gas emissions continues to grow. Global oil demand is expected to average a record 101.9 million barrels per day in 2023, despite an uncertain economic outlook, according to Opec, which revises its oil supply and demand forecasts each month.

While Opec notes that the “growth momentum of the second half of 2022 is expected to continue into the first half of 2023,” the group believes that “the global economy will continue to face challenges such as high inflation, higher interest rates, particularly in the Eurozone and the U.S., and high debt levels in many regions.”

Total world oil demand averaged 99.6 mb/d in 2022, according to the latest Opec estimates, virtually unchanged from the last Opec report published in mid-March.

Register free of charge for uninterrupted access.

Publicite

Recently published in

Oil prices plummeted on Thursday, driven by new U.S. import tariffs and an unexpected decision by Opec to increase production from May.
Commercial crude oil inventories in the United States rose to their highest level since July 2024, driven by a drop in exports and lower refining activity.
Commercial crude oil inventories in the United States rose to their highest level since July 2024, driven by a drop in exports and lower refining activity.
Saudi Aramco is considering new investments in Indian refinery projects after previous failures, as the country boosts refining capacity to meet rising domestic demand.
Saudi Aramco is considering new investments in Indian refinery projects after previous failures, as the country boosts refining capacity to meet rising domestic demand.
The Nigerian president has replaced the leadership of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company amid declining output and eroding investor confidence.
The Nigerian president has replaced the leadership of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company amid declining output and eroding investor confidence.
Sinopec has identified over 140 mn tonnes of proven reserves in the Jiyang Basin, marking the largest certified shale oil discovery in China.
Boaz Energy II has completed the sale of its oil properties and trust units to T2S Permian Acquisition II, refocusing its operations while maintaining administrative continuity of the PermRock Royalty Trust.
Boaz Energy II has completed the sale of its oil properties and trust units to T2S Permian Acquisition II, refocusing its operations while maintaining administrative continuity of the PermRock Royalty Trust.
Offshore oil group Awilco Drilling PLC enters ex-dividend period on 1 April, marking the detachment of a USD 2.06 per share payment, amid significant cash returns to shareholders.
Offshore oil group Awilco Drilling PLC enters ex-dividend period on 1 April, marking the detachment of a USD 2.06 per share payment, amid significant cash returns to shareholders.
After several years of negotiations, Uganda officially signs an agreement to establish the Hoima oil refinery, a central project in the country's energy strategy aimed at reducing dependency on fuel imports.
After several years of negotiations, Uganda officially signs an agreement to establish the Hoima oil refinery, a central project in the country's energy strategy aimed at reducing dependency on fuel imports.
The Nigerian national oil company, NNPC, is finalizing the last steps toward its highly anticipated stock market listing, mobilizing investors and financial institutions for what promises to be a pivotal moment in Africa’s energy market.
Repsol’s Chief Executive said the company is exploring options with US authorities to remain active in Venezuela following Washington’s decision to end sanctions waivers.
Repsol’s Chief Executive said the company is exploring options with US authorities to remain active in Venezuela following Washington’s decision to end sanctions waivers.
CNOOC Limited has announced the discovery of the Huizhou 19-6 oilfield in the eastern South China Sea, with proven reserves exceeding 100 million tonnes of oil equivalent.
CNOOC Limited has announced the discovery of the Huizhou 19-6 oilfield in the eastern South China Sea, with proven reserves exceeding 100 million tonnes of oil equivalent.
PetroChina posts record net profit in 2024, driven by rising oil and gas volumes and expanded refining and distribution operations.
PetroChina posts record net profit in 2024, driven by rising oil and gas volumes and expanded refining and distribution operations.
EACOP has confirmed the closure of an initial tranche of external financing for its 1,443 km pipeline, as several NGOs urge participating banks to withdraw from the project.
Chinese oil group CNOOC Limited reported higher net profit for 2024, driven by growing reserves, record production and strict cost discipline.
Chinese oil group CNOOC Limited reported higher net profit for 2024, driven by growing reserves, record production and strict cost discipline.
The US Energy Information Administration reported an unexpected decline in crude oil inventories, reversing analysts' forecasts of an increase, with immediate effects on crude prices.
The US Energy Information Administration reported an unexpected decline in crude oil inventories, reversing analysts' forecasts of an increase, with immediate effects on crude prices.
Cut off from Iranian energy imports by Washington, Iraq accelerates commercial efforts in Africa while resuming oil exports through Turkey to quickly secure new economic and energy markets.
Cut off from Iranian energy imports by Washington, Iraq accelerates commercial efforts in Africa while resuming oil exports through Turkey to quickly secure new economic and energy markets.
Drydocks World has secured a contract to extend the operational life of the Baobab MV10 offshore platform in Côte d’Ivoire by 15 years through refurbishment and upgrade works.
Amid trade tensions with the United States, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is reviving pipeline projects toward the Arctic to directly access European and Asian markets, diversifying Canada's oil exports.
Amid trade tensions with the United States, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is reviving pipeline projects toward the Arctic to directly access European and Asian markets, diversifying Canada's oil exports.
According to Offshore Energies UK, Britain's oil and gas potential in the North Sea is limited by a tax regime that hinders investments needed to boost national production, increasing dependency on imports.
According to Offshore Energies UK, Britain's oil and gas potential in the North Sea is limited by a tax regime that hinders investments needed to boost national production, increasing dependency on imports.
US authorities have extended Chevron’s temporary licence to operate in Venezuela until 27 May, despite Donald Trump’s warnings of tariffs on imports from countries trading with Caracas.
US authorities have extended Chevron’s temporary licence to operate in Venezuela until 27 May, despite Donald Trump’s warnings of tariffs on imports from countries trading with Caracas.
Shell Brasil approves the offshore Gato do Mato project development, targeting production of 120,000 barrels per day by 2029, further consolidating its position as Brazil’s leading foreign oil producer.
The Equatoguinean government has announced an immediate increase in fuel prices, citing outdated tariffs and budget constraints driven by a prolonged decline in oil exports.
The Equatoguinean government has announced an immediate increase in fuel prices, citing outdated tariffs and budget constraints driven by a prolonged decline in oil exports.
The South African government is intensifying efforts to exploit its vast oil and gas reserves to stimulate national economic growth and boost public revenue.
The South African government is intensifying efforts to exploit its vast oil and gas reserves to stimulate national economic growth and boost public revenue.
A North Dakota jury ordered Greenpeace to pay more than $665 million to Energy Transfer, triggering international reactions denouncing an attack on freedom of expression.
A North Dakota jury ordered Greenpeace to pay more than $665 million to Energy Transfer, triggering international reactions denouncing an attack on freedom of expression.

Advertising