Nigeria: Commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery

The commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery marks a turning point for Nigeria, promising energy self-sufficiency. However, in a difficult economic context, questions remain about its real impact on fuel prices and supply.

Share:

Raffinerie Dangote, Nigeria

Subscribe for unlimited access to all the latest energy sector news.

Over 150 multisector articles and analyses every week.

For less than €3/week*

*For an annual commitment

*Engagement annuel à seulement 99 € (au lieu de 149 €), offre valable jusqu'au 30/07/2025 minuit.

The commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery marks a significant turning point in Nigeria’s energy sector.
After several years of work and delays, this infrastructure, the largest on the African continent, is now producing and distributing gasoline.
With a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, the refinery aims to meet the country’s energy needs, while offering the possibility of exporting part of its production.
The project, which required an investment of $20 billion, represents a crucial step for Nigeria, which until now has depended on imports for almost all its fuel.
The refinery is located over 70 kilometers from Lagos, the country’s economic capital.
The start-up of production was marked by the dispatch of 500 tanker trucks by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company(NNPC), which transported 25 million liters of gasoline.
The moment was hailed by the Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, who described the event as historic, underlining the importance of this achievement for Nigeria’s industrialization.
He declared,

“Today we have taken an important step towards energy self-sufficiency in Nigeria.”

A difficult economic context

Despite the refinery’s promises, Nigeria’s economic context remains worrying.
The country, which is Africa’s leading oil producer, faces major challenges, not least inflation, which topped 33% in July.
Nigerians were recently confronted with a significant rise in gasoline prices, from less than 200 naira to 850 naira in a year and a half.
This increase was exacerbated by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s decision to end fuel subsidies, a move which led to a threefold increase in pump prices.
Expectations for the Dangote refinery are high, but uncertainties remain as to its ability to stabilize fuel prices.
Chronic gasoline shortages have long been a problem for the country, and the commissioning of this refinery is seen as a potential solution.
However, recent price adjustments raise questions about the real impact of this new infrastructure on the local market.

The challenges of energy self-sufficiency

The commissioning of the Dangote refinery is also a key element in Nigeria’s quest for energy self-sufficiency.
The country has four state-owned refineries, none of which are currently operational.
Dependence on fuel imports has repercussions on the national economy, and the refinery could play a crucial role in reducing this dependence.
By producing locally, Nigeria could not only satisfy its domestic needs, but also strengthen its position on the regional market.
Aliko Dangote, who heads this ambitious project, is recognized as Africa’s richest man.
His conglomerate, active in various sectors such as cement and fertilizers, has invested heavily in the refinery.
Growth prospects for the Nigerian oil sector are promising, but depend on the refinery’s ability to operate efficiently and meet market needs.

Production to watch

Gasoline produced by the Dangote refinery should be available at the pump from October 1.
This launch is eagerly awaited by Nigerian consumers, who are hoping for an improvement in fuel supply.
However, the current economic situation and fluctuations in oil prices on the world market could influence the dynamics of production and distribution.
The energy management challenges facing Nigeria are complex.
The commissioning of the refinery represents a significant step forward, but it must be accompanied by measures to stabilize prices and guarantee reliable supply.
Market players and consumers alike are keeping a close eye on this situation, which could have long-term repercussions for the Nigerian economy and the daily lives of its citizens.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects a sharp drop in oil prices, driven by excess supply and an early easing of OPEC+ production cuts.
Afreximbank leads a syndicated financing for the Dangote refinery, including $1.35 billion of its own contribution, to ease debt and stabilise operations at the Nigerian oil complex.
The Emirati logistics giant posts 40% revenue growth despite depressed maritime freight rates, driven by Navig8 integration and strategic fleet expansion.
ConocoPhillips targets $5 bn in asset disposals by 2026 and announces new financial adjustments as production rises but profit declines in the second quarter of 2025.
Pakistan Refinery Limited is preparing to import Bonny Light crude oil from Nigeria for the first time, reflecting the expansion of Asian refiners’ commercial partnerships amid rising regional costs.
Frontera Energy Corporation confirms the divestment of its interest in the Perico and Espejo oil blocks in Ecuador, signalling a strategic refocus on its operations in Colombia.
Gran Tierra Energy confirms a major asset acquisition in Ecuador’s Oriente Basin for USD15.55mn, aiming to expand its exploration and production activities across the Andean region.
The Mexican government unveils an ambitious public support strategy for Petróleos Mexicanos, targeting 1.8 million barrels per day, infrastructure modernisation, and settlement of supplier debt amounting to $12.8 billion.
KazMunayGas has completed its first delivery of 85,000 tonnes of crude oil to Hungary, using maritime transport through the Croatian port of Omisalj as part of a broader export strategy to the European Union.
Tullow marks a strategic milestone in 2025 with the sale of its subsidiaries in Gabon and Kenya, the extension of its Ghanaian licences, and the optimisation of its financial structure.
Saudi giant accelerates transformation with $500 million capex reduction and European asset closures while maintaining strategic projects in Asia.
Record Gulf crude imports expose structural vulnerabilities of Japanese refining amid rising geopolitical tensions and Asian competition.
Diamondback Energy posted a $699mn net income for the second quarter of 2025 and accelerated its share repurchase programme, supported by record production and an upward revision of its annual guidance.
Swiss group Transocean reported a net loss of $938mn for the second quarter 2025, impacted by asset impairments, while revenue rose to $988mn thanks to improved rig utilisation.
The rapid commissioning of bp’s Argos Southwest extension in the Gulf of America strengthens maintenance capabilities and optimises offshore oil production performance.
Eight OPEC+ countries boost output by 547,000 barrels per day in September, completing their increase program twelve months early as Chinese demand plateaus.
New Delhi calls US sanctions unjustified and denounces double standard as Trump threatens to substantially increase tariffs.
BP posts a net profit of $1.63 bn in the second quarter 2025, driven by operational performance, an operating cash flow of $6.3 bn and a new $750 mn share buyback programme.
The Saudi oil giant posts solid results despite falling oil prices. The company pays $21.3 billion in dividends and advances its strategic projects.
Dangote Group appoints David Bird, former Shell executive, as head of its Refining and Petrochemicals division to accelerate regional growth and open up equity to Nigerian investors.
Consent Preferences