Nigeria: Commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery

The commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery marks a turning point for Nigeria, promising energy self-sufficiency. However, in a difficult economic context, questions remain about its real impact on fuel prices and supply.

Share:

Raffinerie Dangote, Nigeria

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

The commissioning of the Dangote mega-refinery marks a significant turning point in Nigeria’s energy sector.
After several years of work and delays, this infrastructure, the largest on the African continent, is now producing and distributing gasoline.
With a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, the refinery aims to meet the country’s energy needs, while offering the possibility of exporting part of its production.
The project, which required an investment of $20 billion, represents a crucial step for Nigeria, which until now has depended on imports for almost all its fuel.
The refinery is located over 70 kilometers from Lagos, the country’s economic capital.
The start-up of production was marked by the dispatch of 500 tanker trucks by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company(NNPC), which transported 25 million liters of gasoline.
The moment was hailed by the Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, who described the event as historic, underlining the importance of this achievement for Nigeria’s industrialization.
He declared,

“Today we have taken an important step towards energy self-sufficiency in Nigeria.”

A difficult economic context

Despite the refinery’s promises, Nigeria’s economic context remains worrying.
The country, which is Africa’s leading oil producer, faces major challenges, not least inflation, which topped 33% in July.
Nigerians were recently confronted with a significant rise in gasoline prices, from less than 200 naira to 850 naira in a year and a half.
This increase was exacerbated by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s decision to end fuel subsidies, a move which led to a threefold increase in pump prices.
Expectations for the Dangote refinery are high, but uncertainties remain as to its ability to stabilize fuel prices.
Chronic gasoline shortages have long been a problem for the country, and the commissioning of this refinery is seen as a potential solution.
However, recent price adjustments raise questions about the real impact of this new infrastructure on the local market.

The challenges of energy self-sufficiency

The commissioning of the Dangote refinery is also a key element in Nigeria’s quest for energy self-sufficiency.
The country has four state-owned refineries, none of which are currently operational.
Dependence on fuel imports has repercussions on the national economy, and the refinery could play a crucial role in reducing this dependence.
By producing locally, Nigeria could not only satisfy its domestic needs, but also strengthen its position on the regional market.
Aliko Dangote, who heads this ambitious project, is recognized as Africa’s richest man.
His conglomerate, active in various sectors such as cement and fertilizers, has invested heavily in the refinery.
Growth prospects for the Nigerian oil sector are promising, but depend on the refinery’s ability to operate efficiently and meet market needs.

Production to watch

Gasoline produced by the Dangote refinery should be available at the pump from October 1.
This launch is eagerly awaited by Nigerian consumers, who are hoping for an improvement in fuel supply.
However, the current economic situation and fluctuations in oil prices on the world market could influence the dynamics of production and distribution.
The energy management challenges facing Nigeria are complex.
The commissioning of the refinery represents a significant step forward, but it must be accompanied by measures to stabilize prices and guarantee reliable supply.
Market players and consumers alike are keeping a close eye on this situation, which could have long-term repercussions for the Nigerian economy and the daily lives of its citizens.

Serbia’s only refinery, operated by NIS, may be forced to halt production this week, weakened by US sanctions targeting its Russian shareholders.
Glencore's attributable production in Cameroon dropped by 31% over nine months, adding pressure on public revenues as Yaoundé revises its oil and budget forecasts amid field maturity and targeted investment shifts.
The profitability of speculative positioning strategies on Brent is declining, while contrarian approaches targeting extreme sentiment levels are proving more effective, marking a significant regime shift in oil trading.
Alaska is set to record its highest oil production increase in 40 years, driven by two key projects that extend the operational life of the TAPS pipeline and reinforce the United States' strategic presence in the Arctic.
TotalEnergies increases its stake to 90% in Nigeria’s offshore block OPL257 following an asset exchange deal with Conoil Producing Limited.
TotalEnergies and Chevron are seeking to acquire a 40% stake in the Mopane oil field in Namibia, owned by Galp, as part of a strategy to secure new resources in a high-potential offshore basin.
The reduction of Rosneft’s stake in Kurdistan Pipeline Company shifts control of the main Kurdish oil pipeline and recalibrates the balance between US sanctions, export financing and regional crude governance.
Russian group Lukoil seeks to sell its assets in Bulgaria after the state placed its refinery under special administration, amid heightened US sanctions against the Russian oil industry.
US authorities will hold a large offshore oil block sale in the Gulf of America in March, covering nearly 80 million acres under favourable fiscal terms.
Sonatrach awarded Chinese company Sinopec a contract to build a new hydrotreatment unit in Arzew, aimed at significantly increasing the country's gasoline production.
The American major could take over part of Lukoil’s non-Russian portfolio, under strict oversight from the U.S. administration, following the collapse of a deal with Swiss trader Gunvor.
Finnish fuel distributor Teboil, owned by Russian group Lukoil, will gradually cease operations as fuel stocks run out, following economic sanctions imposed by the United States.
ExxonMobil will shut down its Fife chemical site in February 2026, citing high costs, weak demand and a UK regulatory environment unfavourable to industrial investment.
Polish state-owned group Orlen strengthens its North Sea presence by acquiring DNO’s stake in Ekofisk, while the Norwegian company shifts focus to fast-return projects.
The Syrian Petroleum Company has signed a memorandum of understanding with ConocoPhillips and Nova Terra Energy to develop gas fields and boost exploration amid ongoing energy shortages.
Fincraft Group LLP, a major shareholder of Tethys Petroleum, submitted a non-binding proposal to acquire all remaining shares, offering a 106% premium over the September trading price.
As global oil prices slowed, China raised its crude stockpiles in October, taking advantage of a growing gap between imports, domestic production and refinery processing.
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation has signed a syndicated financing agreement worth KWD1.5bn ($4.89bn), marking the largest ever local-currency deal arranged by Kuwaiti banks.
The Beninese government has confirmed the availability of a mobile offshore production unit, marking an operational milestone toward resuming activity at the Sèmè oil field, dormant for more than two decades.
The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the founder of Lukoil to secure continued operations at the giant West Qurna-2 oil field, in response to recent US-imposed sanctions.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.