[the_ad id="121217"]

popular articles

Mexico: falling oil production threatens energy independence

Mexico could have to import oil as early as 2030, despite the new Zama and Trion fields. Foreign partnerships could become essential to stabilize energy production.
Illustration du logo de PEMEX, compagnie mexicaine des hydrocarbures, sur fond de champs pétroliers

Please share:

Mexico, once the world leader in oil production, now finds itself at a critical crossroads.
The new president, Claudia Sheinbaum, faces a major challenge: compensating for the drop in national production, which could jeopardize her predecessor’s dream of energy independence.

Decline in Production

Production from Mexico’s old oil fields, mainly in the Gulf of Mexico, is at an all-time low.
Without significant investment in exploration and production, the country could be forced to import oil to feed its expanded refining capacity over the next decade. This would be an unprecedented turnaround for a country that has long been a key exporter on the world market. To meet local demand for fuel, Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) failed to modernize its aging refineries, which were incapable of efficiently processing heavy Maya crude.
As a result, Mexico had to export crude while importing gasoline and diesel, mainly from the United States.

Investments and New Projects

The outgoing administration invested $17 billion in the new Olmeca refinery in Dos Bocas, aimed at reducing this dependence.
However, this refinery, although oversized and overdue, will not be able to compensate for the rapid drop in production expected after 2030.
The Zama and Trion fields should temporarily boost production to around 2.247 million barrels per day by 2028, according to Ministry of Energy forecasts.
However, these gains will not last, and the country may need to import oil to keep its refineries running at full capacity.

Unexplored potential

Alma America Porres, former commissioner of the National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH), points out that proven crude reserves suggest that the shortage could come sooner than expected.
Mexico’s proven oil reserves fell to 5.978 billion barrels this year, down from 6.155 billion barrels the previous year.
Production from older fields, including the Cantarell field, once the world’s second largest, has declined rapidly in recent years.
New fields have not been able to compensate for this decline.

Challenges and opportunities

Former president Lopez Obrador’s strategy of increasing refining capacity rather than exploration has drawn criticism.
Experts believe that the massive investment in the Olmeca refinery would have been better used for the exploration and production of new oil fields, or for diversification into renewable energy sources.
The legal framework for the participation of private companies remains in place.
These companies could add value by investing in exploration, an area where Pemex lacks funds and expertise.
Mexico’s energy future will depend on its ability to attract private investment in oil exploration and production.
Claudia Sheinbaum, with her expertise in power engineering and commitment to renewable energies, will have to navigate between preserving the nationalist heritage of her predecessor and the necessary openness to international collaboration.
This hybrid approach could be the key to ensuring Mexico’s energy security while integrating more sustainable energy sources.

Register free of charge for uninterrupted access.

Publicite

Recently published in

The American group ExxonMobil has finalized the sale of the Fos-sur-Mer refinery to Rhône Energies, a consortium led by Trafigura, marking a step in its strategy to reduce activities in France.
Italian energy giant Eni has finalized the sale of its Alaskan oil fields to American firm Hilcorp for $1 billion, advancing its strategy of refocusing on strategic assets.
Italian energy giant Eni has finalized the sale of its Alaskan oil fields to American firm Hilcorp for $1 billion, advancing its strategy of refocusing on strategic assets.
Saudi Arabia, Russia, and six other OPEC+ countries extend their production cuts by 2.2 million barrels per day until the end of December to support oil prices weakened by uncertain demand.
Saudi Arabia, Russia, and six other OPEC+ countries extend their production cuts by 2.2 million barrels per day until the end of December to support oil prices weakened by uncertain demand.
Saudi Aramco and PetroVietnam signed a collaboration agreement to strengthen their activities in refining and petrochemicals in Vietnam, marking a new phase of strategic energy cooperation.
Saudi Aramco and PetroVietnam signed a collaboration agreement to strengthen their activities in refining and petrochemicals in Vietnam, marking a new phase of strategic energy cooperation.
[the_ad id="121209"]
[the_ad id="121211"]
The World Bank predicts an oil surplus that should drive down commodity prices despite tensions in the Middle East. Demand in China is slowing, contributing to this unprecedented imbalance.
In Venezuela, five of the last eight Oil Ministers are imprisoned or on the run, accused of corruption. This strategic sector, vital to the country, is plagued by recurring scandals.
In Venezuela, five of the last eight Oil Ministers are imprisoned or on the run, accused of corruption. This strategic sector, vital to the country, is plagued by recurring scandals.
U.S. crude inventories are expected to increase by 800,000 barrels as refineries slow down, leading to reduced stocks of essential refined products like gasoline and distillates.
U.S. crude inventories are expected to increase by 800,000 barrels as refineries slow down, leading to reduced stocks of essential refined products like gasoline and distillates.
European energy giants Eni and BP resume onshore drilling activities in Libya after ten years, as the country seeks to double its oil production within five years.
European energy giants Eni and BP resume onshore drilling activities in Libya after ten years, as the country seeks to double its oil production within five years.
[the_ad id="121213"]
[the_ad id="121214"]
OMV, the Austrian energy giant, exceeds forecasts for the third quarter of 2024, driven by its chemical division, which offsets declining results in the fuel and raw materials sector.
BP reports a 30% drop in profit for the third quarter of 2024, impacted by a decline in global oil demand and reduced refining margins. How is the energy giant responding to these new challenges?
BP reports a 30% drop in profit for the third quarter of 2024, impacted by a decline in global oil demand and reduced refining margins. How is the energy giant responding to these new challenges?
Ghana plans to source petroleum products from Nigeria's Dangote refinery, aiming to reduce its monthly fuel import bill, estimated at $400 million.
Ghana plans to source petroleum products from Nigeria's Dangote refinery, aiming to reduce its monthly fuel import bill, estimated at $400 million.
The Thali oil project of Tower Resources in Cameroon receives a major financing offer that could unlock crucial advancements, conditional on obtaining an essential license extension.
The Thali oil project of Tower Resources in Cameroon receives a major financing offer that could unlock crucial advancements, conditional on obtaining an essential license extension.
Canadian company Zimar Inc has signed an agreement to develop a modular refinery in Niger, aiming to increase the country’s oil processing capacity and stimulate refined product exports.
CNOOC Limited, a Chinese oil and gas company, reports record growth in production and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, marking unprecedented performance despite an unstable external environment.
CNOOC Limited, a Chinese oil and gas company, reports record growth in production and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, marking unprecedented performance despite an unstable external environment.
Galp has launched a new drilling phase to assess the potential of Mopane, off the coast of Namibia, marking a turning point for the development of what could become the country’s largest oil discovery.
Galp has launched a new drilling phase to assess the potential of Mopane, off the coast of Namibia, marking a turning point for the development of what could become the country’s largest oil discovery.
African economies dependent on oil are stagnating, growing at half the rate of the rest of the region. The IMF highlights a lack of diversification and investment as key factors behind this lag.
African economies dependent on oil are stagnating, growing at half the rate of the rest of the region. The IMF highlights a lack of diversification and investment as key factors behind this lag.
[the_ad id="121219"]
Benin intensifies efforts to attract investors in the offshore oil sector. TGS begins 3D seismic surveys to identify new offshore oil prospects in Beninese waters.
Kerosene demand in Asia remains strong, reinforcing its position over diesel, despite the massive arrival of cargoes from India and the Middle East, which could reverse this trend.
Kerosene demand in Asia remains strong, reinforcing its position over diesel, despite the massive arrival of cargoes from India and the Middle East, which could reverse this trend.
In September, Brazil replaced Malaysia as the top supplier of blended bitumen to China, due to banking restrictions and new trade opportunities with Latin American countries.
In September, Brazil replaced Malaysia as the top supplier of blended bitumen to China, due to banking restrictions and new trade opportunities with Latin American countries.
BW Energy plans to reach a production of 40,000 barrels per day off the coast of Gabon by the end of 2024, thanks to an intensive drilling campaign in the Dussafu block.
BW Energy plans to reach a production of 40,000 barrels per day off the coast of Gabon by the end of 2024, thanks to an intensive drilling campaign in the Dussafu block.
South Sudan has resumed its crude oil exports via Sudan after a prolonged halt due to technical issues. This restart marks a crucial step for the country’s struggling economy.
The Gabon Oil Company (GOC) strengthens its position in the oil sector by purchasing 15% of Baudroie shares, previously owned by TotalEnergies. This acquisition aims to increase national production.
The Gabon Oil Company (GOC) strengthens its position in the oil sector by purchasing 15% of Baudroie shares, previously owned by TotalEnergies. This acquisition aims to increase national production.
WTI Midland crude from the Permian Basin has become too light for refining infrastructure, posing significant challenges for producers and refineries. This directly impacts margins and international demand.
WTI Midland crude from the Permian Basin has become too light for refining infrastructure, posing significant challenges for producers and refineries. This directly impacts margins and international demand.
An oil spill of 30-40 tonnes was contained by Shell at Bukom, Singapore, without affecting operations. The company is collaborating with the authorities for clean-up while continuing its local restructuring.
An oil spill of 30-40 tonnes was contained by Shell at Bukom, Singapore, without affecting operations. The company is collaborating with the authorities for clean-up while continuing its local restructuring.

Advertising