Major breakthrough in Russia-Turkey gas deal

Russia and Turkey are closing in on a historic agreement to establish a gas hub in Turkey, potentially redefining European energy dynamics.

Share:

Hub Gazier: Nouveau Tournant Géostratégique

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

Against a backdrop of energy and political upheaval, Russia and Turkey are on the verge of a landmark agreement to create a strategic gas hub in Turkey. This initiative comes at a time when Russia is seeking to redirect its energy exports following tensions with Europe caused by the Ukrainian conflict.

Alexander Novak, Russian Deputy Prime Minister, announced that negotiations between Gazprom and BOTAŞ (Turkish gas company) were progressing rapidly. The aim is to get around the European sanctions that restrict Russian gas imports. This hub would serve as a crucial transit point for Russian exports to Europe.

Objectives and complexities of the Gas Hub

This collaboration between Moscow and Ankara underlines the strengthening of bilateral ties, but it is not without its complexities. Questions remain as to the management and control of the future hub, issues which have slowed discussions. At the same time, Turkey, seeking to diversify its gas supplies, recently signed an agreement with Bulgaria, reflecting its desire to balance its energy sources.

Geopolitical implications of the Partnership

The gas hub project is of major geopolitical importance. It could solidify Turkey’s position as a key energy corridor between Russia and Europe, and challenge Europe’s dependence on Russian gas. This energy partnership is part of a broader dynamic of economic and political cooperation between the two countries.

Extended Economic and Industrial Cooperation

Beyond energy, Russia and Turkey are exploring collaborations in advanced industrial sectors, including the manufacture of composite materials and energy storage technologies. Tourism and mutual investments were also discussed, anticipating an increase in Russian tourist flows to Turkey.
This project is part of Russia’s strategy to secure its gas exports to Europe while maintaining its market share, despite the conflict with Ukraine. For Turkey, this represents an opportunity to assert its role as a regional energy hub, and to skilfully balance its relations with East and West.

The potential agreement between Russia and Turkey to establish a gas hub represents a significant change in European energy and geopolitical relations. As negotiations progress, this project symbolizes both an opportunity and a challenge for Turkey in its role as energy mediator, with repercussions that could reshape the regional energy landscape.

Global South Utilities is investing $1 billion in new solar, wind and storage projects to strengthen Yemen's energy capacity and expand its regional influence.
British International Investment and FirstRand partner to finance the decarbonisation of African companies through a facility focused on supporting high-emission sectors.
Budapest moves to secure Serbian oil supply, threatened by Croatia’s suspension of crude flows following US sanctions on the Russian-controlled NIS refinery.
Moscow says it wants to increase oil and liquefied natural gas exports to Beijing, while consolidating bilateral cooperation amid US sanctions targeting Russian producers.
The European Investment Bank is mobilising €2bn in financing backed by the European Commission for energy projects in Africa, with a strategic objective rooted in the European Union’s energy diplomacy.
Russia faces a structural decline in energy revenues as strengthened sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil disrupt trade flows and deepen the federal budget deficit.
Washington imposes new sanctions targeting vessels, shipowners and intermediaries in Asia, increasing the regulatory risk of Iranian oil trade and redefining maritime compliance in the region.
OFAC’s licence for Paks II circumvents sanctions on Rosatom in exchange for US technological involvement, reshaping the balance of interests between Moscow, Budapest and Washington.
Finland, Estonia, Hungary and Czechia are multiplying bilateral initiatives in Africa to capture strategic energy and mining projects under the European Global Gateway programme.
The Brazilian president calls for a voluntary and non-binding energy transition during COP30 in Belém, avoiding direct confrontation with oil-producing countries.
The region attracted only a small share of global capital allocated to renewables in 2024, despite high energy needs and ambitious development goals, according to a report published in November.
The United States approves South Korea’s development of civilian uranium enrichment capabilities and supports a nuclear-powered submarine project, expanding a strategic partnership already linked to a major trade agreement.
The EU member states agree to prioritise a loan mechanism backed by immobilised Russian assets to finance aid to Ukraine, reducing national budgetary impact while ensuring enhanced funding capacity.
The Canadian government commits $56 billion to a new wave of infrastructure projects aimed at expanding energy corridors, accelerating critical mineral extraction and reinforcing strategic capacity.
Berlin strengthens its cooperation with Abuja through funding aimed at supporting Nigeria’s energy diversification and consolidating its renewable infrastructure.
COP30 begins in Belém under uncertainty, as countries fail to agree on key discussion topics, highlighting deep divisions over climate finance and the global energy transition.
The United States secures a tungsten joint venture in Kazakhstan and mining protocols in Uzbekistan, with financing envisaged from the Export-Import Bank of the United States and shipment routed via the Trans-Caspian corridor.
The United States grants Hungary a one-year waiver on sanctions targeting Russian oil, in return for a commitment to purchase US liquefied natural gas worth $600mn.
Meeting in Canada, G7 energy ministers unveiled a series of projects aimed at securing supply chains for critical minerals, in response to China’s restrictions on rare earth exports.
Donald Trump announces an immediate reduction in tariffs on Chinese fentanyl-related imports from 20% to 10%, potentially impacting energy flows between Washington and Beijing.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.