Investments and Obstacles to Achieving the 2030 Goals according to EY’s RECAI

Despite record investment in clean energy in 2023, significant challenges remain in meeting the target of tripling renewable capacity by 2030, according to EY's latest RECAI report.

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Défis investissements énergies renouvelables 2030

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The year 2023 saw a global investment of 1.8 trillion USD in clean energy, of which 660 billion USD was earmarked specifically for renewable energies. Nevertheless, this amount falls short of what is needed to meet the COP28 target of tripling renewable energy capacity by 2030. The latest EY Renewable Energy Country Attractiveness Index report (RECAI 63) identifies several major obstacles, such as gridlock and high capital costs, which could hold back the necessary progress.

Importance of energy storage systems

BESS systems have been identified as a key solution to network congestion, particularly in mature markets. The RECAI report highlights the lucrative investment opportunities in this sector. Arnaud de Giovanni, Global Renewable Energy Leader at EY, points out that BESS can stabilize and strengthen grid infrastructures, making it easier to connect new energy sources. Investors need to focus on four main aspects: building a solid investment case, maintaining technological competitiveness, establishing the optimal business model and mitigating supply chain risks.

Ranking of Attractive Markets for BESS

The new market ranking index for BESS places the USA, China and the UK at the top of the list of investment destinations. The USA benefits from a 30% tax credit thanks to the Inflation Reduction Act, while China, with its government subsidies and plans to reduce BESS costs by 30% by 2025, is close behind. The UK completes the top three thanks to recent legislation classifying BESS as generative assets. A fourfold increase in global BESS deployment is forecast from 2023 to 2030, reaching 572 GW/1,848 GWh.

Investment Opportunities and Challenges

Ben Warren, Editor-in-Chief of RECAI, notes that investor interest in BESS is growing. However, this market is further complicated by regional variations, electricity market designs, technology and financing. Investing in BESS requires an in-depth understanding of regional dynamics and risk management associated with market volatility.

Renewable Energy Market Trends

The United States, China and Germany remain at the top of the RECAI index, attracting investors thanks to growing demand for renewable energies. However, Spain dropped from 10th to 12th position due to network constraints. Canada and Japan moved up the rankings thanks to policies that favor offshore wind power. Belgium and Argentina also made significant progress in the rankings, supported by ambitious energy policies.
Small economies such as Denmark, Greece, Chile and Finland also offer attractive alternatives for investors, benefiting from ambitious energy transition plans and incentive policies. These countries have seen a significant increase in their renewable energy capacity, creating new investment opportunities.

Bourbon enters a new strategic phase following the arrival of Davidson Kempner and Fortress, who have become majority shareholders after a financial restructuring approved by the French courts.
US-based Armada has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Department of Energy to participate in the Genesis Mission, aimed at accelerating scientific research and reinforcing national energy and technology sovereignty.
Solar Energy Corporation of India signed a strategic agreement with Global Energy Alliance to strengthen grid resilience and support the expansion of storage and smart management technologies.
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The Norwegian energy group rejects the sanction imposed for illegal gas discharges at Mongstad, citing disagreement over maintenance obligations and the alleged financial benefit.
Alpine Power Systems announces the acquisition of Chicago Industrial Battery to expand its regional presence and support the growth of its PowerMAX line of used and rental batteries and chargers.
HASI and KKR strengthen their strategic partnership with an additional $1bn allocation to CarbonCount Holdings 1, bringing the vehicle’s total investment capacity to nearly $5bn.
EDF is considering selling some of its subsidiaries, including Edison and its renewables activities in the United States, to strengthen its financial capacity as a €5bn ($5.43bn) savings plan is underway.
French group Qair secures a structured €240 million loan to consolidate debt and strengthen liquidity, with participation from ten leading financial institutions.
Xcel Energy initiates three public tender offers totalling $345mn on mortgage bonds issued by Northern States Power Company to optimise its long-term debt structure.
EDF power solutions' Umoyilanga energy project has entered provisional operation with the Dassiesridge wind plant, marking a key milestone in delivering dispatchable electricity to South Africa’s national grid.
Indian group JSW Energy launches a combined promoter injection and institutional raise totalling $1.19bn, while appointing a new Chief Financial Officer to support its expansion plan through 2030.
Singapore’s Sembcorp Industries has entered the Australian energy market with the acquisition of Alinta Energy in a deal valued at AU$6.5bn ($4.3bn), including debt.
Potentia Energy has secured $553mn in financing to optimise its operational renewable assets and support the delivery of six new projects totalling over 600 MW of capacity across Australia.
Drax plans to convert its 1,000-acre site in Yorkshire into a data centre by 2027, repurposing former coal infrastructure and existing grid connections.
EDF has inaugurated a synchronous compensator in Guadeloupe to enhance the stability of an isolated power grid, an unprecedented initiative aiming to reduce dependence on thermal plants and the risk of prolonged outages.
NGE and the Agence Régionale Énergie Climat Occitanie form a partnership to develop a heating and cooling network designed to support economic activity in the Magna Porta zone, with locally integrated production solutions.
GEODIS and EDF have signed a strategic partnership to cut emissions from logistics and energy flows, with projects planned in France and abroad.
The American oil group now plans to invest $20 billion in low-emission technologies by 2030, down from the $30 billion initially announced one year earlier.
BHP sells a minority stake in its Western Australia Iron Ore power network to Global Infrastructure Partners for $2 billion, retaining strategic control while securing long-term funding for its mining expansion.

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