Investigation into the damaged Finland-Estonia gas pipeline

An intriguing investigation into the damage to the Finland-Estonia gas pipeline. The case that blends mystery, energy security and geopolitics in the Baltic region.

Share:

Balticconector pipeline

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25£/month*

*billed annually at 99£/year for the first year then 149,00£/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2£/month*
then 14.90£ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

The Finland-Estonia Pipeline Inquiry continues. As a reminder, this pipeline was severely damaged by an external intervention. The Finnish authorities have taken strict measures to determine the cause of the damage. They assessed the implications for the region’s energy security and identified those allegedly responsible for the action.

The Balticconnector gas pipeline, which links these two neighboring countries, is a crucial component of the regional energy infrastructure, providing essential natural gas supplies to Finland. However, on October 8, the pipeline suffered a major leak, leading to its immediate closure. Preliminary investigations quickly indicated that the leak was the result of deliberate external intervention. This revelation raised concerns about the possibility of an act of sabotage aimed at disrupting Finland’s natural gas supply and jeopardizing the energy stability of the Baltic region.

Samples Collected for Expertise

The Finnish National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) has announced the end of the initial phase of investigations. Investigators took significant samples of the damaged pipeline. These have been handed over for detailed examination. These samples required dives to depths of several dozen metres to reach the areas affected by the damage.

Maritime Traffic Review

At the same time as analyzing the pipeline, the Finnish police are investigating marine traffic in the area at the time of the leak. The incident occurred off the Finnish coast of the Baltic Sea, an area frequented by a variety of vessels. Boats in the vicinity included the Russian cargo ship Sevmorput, the Chinese cargo ship Newnew Polarbear and other vessels.

Geopolitical concerns

The circumstances surrounding the leak have prompted speculation about possible Russian involvement, due to the presence of the Russian cargo vessel Sevmorput in the area at the time of the incident. However, Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo warned against any premature conclusions. He stressed that further investigations were needed to determine those responsible for this damaging act.

According to the Finnish pipeline operator, repair work on the damaged pipeline will take “at least five months”. This means that Finland will be forced to source its natural gas by other means, notably via its floating liquefied natural gas terminal at Inkoo, located in the south of the country. The economic and energy consequences of this gas supply disruption will be significant for Finland and its industries.

The Enigma of Gas Leaks in the Baltic Sea

It should be noted that this incident is not the first to affect the Baltic Sea region. Just over a year ago, on September 26, 2022, four huge gas leaks accompanied by underwater explosions occurred on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines. They carry most of Russia’s gas to Europe. However, the cause of these incidents remains an enigma.

Impact on energy consumption in Finland

Natural gas accounts for around 5% of Finland’s energy consumption. It is mainly used in industry, power generation and heating. The disruption of natural gas supplies will have an impact on these sectors.

This investigation reveals the circumstances surrounding the damage to the Finland-Estonia gas pipeline and the possible implications for the region’s energy security. Developments in this case will have an impact on natural gas supplies to Finland and could have geopolitical repercussions.

Producers bring volumes back after targeted reductions, taking advantage of a less discounted basis, expanding outbound capacity and rising seasonal demand, while liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports absorb surplus and support regional differentials.
Matador Resources signs multiple strategic transportation agreements to reduce exposure to the Waha Hub and access Gulf Coast and California markets.
Boardwalk Pipelines initiates a subscription campaign for its Texas Gateway project, aiming to transport 1.45mn Dth/d of natural gas to Louisiana in response to growing energy sector demand along the Gulf Coast.
US-based asset manager Global X has unveiled a new index fund focused on the natural gas value chain, capitalising on the growing momentum of liquified natural gas exports.
US producer Amplify Energy has announced the full sale of its East Texas interests for a total of $127.5mn, aiming to simplify its portfolio and strengthen its financial structure.
Maple Creek Energy has secured the purchase of a GE Vernova 7HA.03 turbine for its gas-fired power plant project in Indiana, shortening construction timelines with commercial operation targeted for 2029.
Talen Energy has finalised a $2.69bn bond financing to support the purchase of two natural gas-fired power plants with a combined capacity of nearly 2,900 MW.
Excelerate Energy has signed a definitive agreement with Iraq’s Ministry of Electricity to develop a floating liquefied natural gas import terminal at Khor Al Zubair, with a projected investment of $450 mn.
Botaş lines up a series of liquefied natural gas (LNG, liquefied natural gas) contracts that narrow the space for Russian and Iranian flows, as domestic production and import capacity strengthen its bargaining position. —
A record expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG, gaz naturel liquéfié — GNL) capacity is reshaping global supply, with expected effects on prices, contractual flexibility and demand trajectories in importing regions.
The Philippine government is suspending the expansion of LNG regasification infrastructure, citing excess capacity and prioritising public investment in other regions of the country.
Caracas suspended its energy agreements with Trinidad and Tobago, citing a conflict of interest linked to the foreign policy of the new Trinidadian government, jeopardising several major cross-border gas projects.
TotalEnergies is asking Mozambique for a licence extension and financial compensation to restart its $20 billion gas project suspended since 2021 following an armed attack.
An Italian appeal court has approved the extradition to Germany of a former Ukrainian commander suspected of coordinating the 2022 sabotage of the Nord Stream gas pipeline, a decision now challenged in cassation.
QatarEnergy has acquired a 40% stake in the North Rafah offshore exploration block, located off Egypt’s Mediterranean coast, strengthening its presence in the region in partnership with Italian group Eni.
The U.S. Department of Energy has given final approval to the CP2 LNG project, authorising liquefied natural gas exports to countries without free trade agreements.
LNG Energy Group finalised a court-approved reorganisation agreement in Colombia and settled a major debt through asset transfer, while continuing its operational and financial recovery plan.
Daniel Chapo is visiting the United States to encourage ExxonMobil to commit to a major investment in Rovuma LNG, a strategic gas project for Mozambique as TotalEnergies resumes its suspended operations.
Baker Hughes will expand its coiled tubing drilling fleet from four to ten units in Saudi Arabia’s gas fields under a multi-year agreement with Aramco, including operational management and underbalanced drilling services.
Tokyo Gas commits to one million tonnes per annum of liquefied natural gas under the Alaska LNG project, boosting Glenfarne’s commercial momentum after five agreements signed in seven months.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25£/month*

*billed annually at 99£/year for the first year then 149,00£/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2£/month*
then 14.90£ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.