Hydrogen Market Growth: Forecasts and Challenges

Hydrogen production will reach 204 billion USD by 2031, driven by industrial demand and government clean energy initiatives. However, storage and distribution challenges are holding back this growing market.

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Hydrogen production will reach 204 billion USD by 2031, driven by industrial demand and government clean energy initiatives.
However, storage and distribution challenges are holding back this growing market.

Context and State of the Hydrogen Market

Hydrogen production relies on a variety of sources, including fossil fuels, water, nuclear power, solar energy and biomass.
Processes used include electrolysis, thermochemical reactions, biological methods and pressure swing adsorption.
Each hydrogen production method is color-coded: gray, green and blue, depending on the chemical reactions employed.
These types of hydrogen find diverse applications in the e-mobility, chemical production, power generation and manufacturing industries.

Growth drivers and market challenges

The growth of the hydrogen generation market is mainly driven by increasing demand in the chemical industry and government initiatives to accelerate the transition to clean energy sources.
However, the high cost of storing hydrogen is a major obstacle.
On the other hand, the development of green hydrogen production technologies and the increasing use of hydrogen in fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) are opening up new opportunities for market players.
Securing the transport and storage of hydrogen remains a major challenge for the industry.

Market Segments and Forecasts

By 2024, the grey hydrogen segment is expected to account for around 87% of the hydrogen generation market.
However, green hydrogen is expected to experience the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecast period.
This growth is fuelled by the need to reduce the cost of renewable energy production, the development of electrolysis technologies and strong demand for green hydrogen in FCEV and power generation applications.
In terms of processes, hydrogen generation processes are expected to account for around 80% of the market by 2024.
This dominance is attributed to the growing demand for hydrogen in industrial applications and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from hydrogen generation processes.

Hydrogen Sources and Applications

The fossil fuel segment is expected to account for around 60% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024, while the solar energy segment is set to record the highest growth rate.
This growth is driven by increasing demand for green hydrogen in industrial applications and the adoption of low-cost hydrogen production methods.
In terms of applications, ammonia production is expected to account for over 55% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024.
This significant share is due to the growing demand for ammonia as a low-carbon fuel and its increasing use to decarbonize industries.
The e-mobility segment is expected to record the highest growth rate over the forecast period.

Regional outlook

Asia-Pacific is expected to account for over 41% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024, followed by Europe, North America, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa.
This significant market share is mainly attributed to the region’s growing capacity to produce carbon-free hydrogen, Australia’s focus on hydrogen generation using carbon capture and storage technologies, and China’s increasing use of renewable energy, natural gas and coal for hydrogen generation.
The evolution of the hydrogen generation market presents significant opportunities, although challenges remain, particularly in storage and transportation.
The potential of green hydrogen and government initiatives to promote clean energy are key drivers for the future of this market.

EDF power solutions has inaugurated a hydrogen pilot plant at the Norte Fluminense thermal power plant, with an investment of BRL4.5mn ($882,000), as part of Aneel's R&D programme.
Plug Power plans to generate $275mn by divesting assets and reallocating investments to the data center market, as part of a strategy focused on returns and financial discipline.
GreenH launches construction of three green hydrogen projects in Bodø, Kristiansund and Slagentangen, backed by NOK391mn ($35.86mn) in public funding, aiming to strengthen decarbonised maritime supply along Norway’s coast.
Nel ASA becomes technology provider for the Enova-supported hydrogen sites in Kristiansund and Slagentangen, with a combined minimum capacity of 20 MW.
French hydrogen producer Lhyfe has signed an agreement to supply 90 tonnes of RFNBO-certified hydrogen to a private fuel station operator in Germany for a fleet of buses.
Loblaw and FortisBC are trialling a hydrogen-powered heavy truck between Vancouver and Squamish, marking a step in the integration of low-emission solutions in Canada’s grocery logistics.
Next Hydrogen announces a private equity placement of CAD$20mn to CAD$30mn ($14.55mn to $21.83mn), led by Smoothwater Capital, to accelerate the commercialisation of its electrolyzers and support its industrial growth.
Transition Industries signed a long-term purchase agreement with Mitsubishi Gas Chemical for the annual supply of 1mn tonnes of ultra-low carbon methanol starting in 2029, from its Pacifico Mexinol project in Mexico.
Norwegian group Nel ASA has received a firm order worth over $50mn to supply its PEM electrolysers for two green hydrogen production units in Florø and Eigersund.
Driven by aerospace, industrial gas, and hydrogen investment, the global liquid hydrogen micro-storage systems market is projected to grow 9% annually through 2034.
The suspension of ARCHES is not slowing hydrogen initiatives in California, where public authorities are accelerating projects for production, transport and use of the fuel in local infrastructure.
The HySynergy I plant produces eight tons of hydrogen per day from renewable energy and marks a new milestone in the deployment of low-carbon hydrogen in Europe, with medium-term expansion projects.
Ahead of Hyd’Occ’s commissioning, Qair hosts hydrogen sector operators and decision-makers in Béziers to coordinate the industrial integration of local production into regional transport.
Plug Power has signed a supply agreement with Allied Biofuels to equip a sustainable fuel production site in Uzbekistan, bringing total contracted capacity with Allied partners to 5 GW.
RIC Energy and Siemens have signed a strategic agreement to develop industrial projects in renewable hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuel, and green ammonia, focusing on two key sites in Spain.
Element One obtains an exclusive option to acquire up to 100% of Stone to H2, a New York-based company holding patented technology for hydrogen and critical mineral extraction from ultramafic rock.
Elogen will supply a 1 MW PEM electrolyser for a cogeneration plant operated by Veolia Energia Slovensko, in partnership with RoyalStav, near Žiar nad Hronom.
Researchers have designed a system that combines two ammonia production technologies to reduce costs, optimise industrial efficiency and significantly cut greenhouse gas emissions.
U.S.-based Utility will build a hydrogen production and certification facility in Seongnam, using biogas, marking a strategic step for the expansion of its H2Gen® technology in the South Korean market.
HTEC has inaugurated a clean hydrogen production facility in Burnaby, British Columbia, marking the launch of the province’s first commercial-scale electrolyzer, with a combined production capacity of 1.8 tonnes of clean hydrogen per day.

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