Hydrogen Market Growth: Forecasts and Challenges

Hydrogen production will reach 204 billion USD by 2031, driven by industrial demand and government clean energy initiatives. However, storage and distribution challenges are holding back this growing market.

Share:

Subscribe for unlimited access to all the latest energy sector news.

Over 150 multisector articles and analyses every week.

For less than €3/week*

*For an annual commitment

*Engagement annuel à seulement 99 € (au lieu de 149 €), offre valable jusqu'au 30/07/2025 minuit.

Hydrogen production will reach 204 billion USD by 2031, driven by industrial demand and government clean energy initiatives.
However, storage and distribution challenges are holding back this growing market.

Context and State of the Hydrogen Market

Hydrogen production relies on a variety of sources, including fossil fuels, water, nuclear power, solar energy and biomass.
Processes used include electrolysis, thermochemical reactions, biological methods and pressure swing adsorption.
Each hydrogen production method is color-coded: gray, green and blue, depending on the chemical reactions employed.
These types of hydrogen find diverse applications in the e-mobility, chemical production, power generation and manufacturing industries.

Growth drivers and market challenges

The growth of the hydrogen generation market is mainly driven by increasing demand in the chemical industry and government initiatives to accelerate the transition to clean energy sources.
However, the high cost of storing hydrogen is a major obstacle.
On the other hand, the development of green hydrogen production technologies and the increasing use of hydrogen in fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) are opening up new opportunities for market players.
Securing the transport and storage of hydrogen remains a major challenge for the industry.

Market Segments and Forecasts

By 2024, the grey hydrogen segment is expected to account for around 87% of the hydrogen generation market.
However, green hydrogen is expected to experience the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecast period.
This growth is fuelled by the need to reduce the cost of renewable energy production, the development of electrolysis technologies and strong demand for green hydrogen in FCEV and power generation applications.
In terms of processes, hydrogen generation processes are expected to account for around 80% of the market by 2024.
This dominance is attributed to the growing demand for hydrogen in industrial applications and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from hydrogen generation processes.

Hydrogen Sources and Applications

The fossil fuel segment is expected to account for around 60% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024, while the solar energy segment is set to record the highest growth rate.
This growth is driven by increasing demand for green hydrogen in industrial applications and the adoption of low-cost hydrogen production methods.
In terms of applications, ammonia production is expected to account for over 55% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024.
This significant share is due to the growing demand for ammonia as a low-carbon fuel and its increasing use to decarbonize industries.
The e-mobility segment is expected to record the highest growth rate over the forecast period.

Regional outlook

Asia-Pacific is expected to account for over 41% of the hydrogen generation market in 2024, followed by Europe, North America, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa.
This significant market share is mainly attributed to the region’s growing capacity to produce carbon-free hydrogen, Australia’s focus on hydrogen generation using carbon capture and storage technologies, and China’s increasing use of renewable energy, natural gas and coal for hydrogen generation.
The evolution of the hydrogen generation market presents significant opportunities, although challenges remain, particularly in storage and transportation.
The potential of green hydrogen and government initiatives to promote clean energy are key drivers for the future of this market.

Endua, an Australian technology company, has received $4.88mn in public funding to strengthen its capacity to produce modular hydrogen electrolysers, supporting the expansion of local supply chains and industrial development within the hydrogen sector.
HydrogenXT secures a $900mn agreement with Kell Kapital Partners Limited to develop the first ten local zero-carbon blue hydrogen plants along key logistics corridors in the United States.
Elogen completes delivery of a 2.5 MW proton exchange membrane electrolyser for the Baseload Power Hub, linked to the Hollandse Kust Noord offshore wind farm and operated by CrossWind joint venture.
Fotowatio Renewable Ventures joins forces with Envision Energy for the H2 Cumbuco project, aiming for a 500MW green ammonia plant targeting Brazilian, European, and Asian markets.
Element 2 strengthens its partnership with HRS to install a mobile hydrogen station in Glasgow, as part of its expansion strategy for its refuelling network in the United Kingdom and Ireland.
Global hydrogen development, supported by more than 1,500 ongoing projects and significant investments, is driving strong demand for insurance coverage, with potential estimated at over USD3bn in annual premiums by 2030.
ArcelorMittal Brazil begins a collaboration with Utility Global to develop a clean hydrogen project using the patented H2Gen system, aimed at producing up to 3 tons per day at the Juiz de Fora plant.
ENERTRAG announces the acquisition of a plot in Prenzlau to install a 130 megawatt green hydrogen production unit, with a planned investment of €300 mn, thereby supporting the regional economy and local industrial sector.
H2APEX Group SCA has completed a EUR30mn ($32.5mn) capital increase to finance the acquisition of HH2E Werk Lubmin GmbH and support the development of its hydrogen project in Germany. —
Next Hydrogen launches the largest onsite clean hydrogen production and distribution station in Ontario, capable of supplying up to 650 kg per day for powering fuel cell forklifts.
A 5,500-horsepower harbour vessel was bunkered with green ammonia at the Dalian terminal, marking the creation of a full value chain for this fuel and a technical milestone for the maritime sector.
Air Liquide begins construction of the ELYgator electrolyser in Rotterdam, a 200 MW project, supported by the Dutch government and an investment exceeding €500 mn.
A pilot project in Germany aims to produce green hydrogen at sea directly from untreated seawater on offshore wind farms, using marine bacteria and robust materials.
BP withdraws from the Australian Renewable Energy Hub, a major renewable hydrogen and ammonia project in the Pilbara region, marking a new stage for energy investments in Australia.
Next Hydrogen raises CAD1.5mn from its management and a commercial lender to strengthen its cash flow and retain teams, while maintaining its review of financial and strategic solutions.
The first European citizen funding campaign dedicated to green hydrogen enabled Lhyfe to collect €2.5mn from nearly 1,200 investors, strengthening the development of new sites in France and Germany.
In the face of renewable energy intermittency, Power-to-Hydrogen-to-Power (PtP) technology could revolutionize energy storage. However, its adoption still depends on cost reduction and efficiency improvements.
South Korean company YPP and Kazakh Invest have signed a framework agreement for the development of a green hydrogen production project in Kazakhstan, with investments potentially reaching $3.1 billion.
The Dutch government has granted major funding to HyCC for its H2eron electrolysis project, aimed at producing renewable hydrogen in the Delfzijl industrial zone.
ACWA Power has signed several agreements with European partners to develop a green energy export chain between Saudi Arabia and Europe, as part of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor project.
Consent Preferences