Flexible DER capacity to reach 253 GW worldwide by 2033

A study by Guidehouse Insights forecasts 5.2% annual growth in flexible distributed energy resources (DER), reaching 253 GW in 2033.

Share:

Comprehensive energy news coverage, updated nonstop

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access • Archives included • Professional invoice

OTHER ACCESS OPTIONS

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

FREE ACCOUNT

3 articles offered per month

FREE

*Prices are excluding VAT, which may vary depending on your location or professional status

Since 2021: 35,000 articles • 150+ analyses per week

Flexible distributed energy resources (DER) are playing a growing role in the global energy transition. As economies seek to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, DER flexibility technologies offer alternative solutions to traditional fossil-fired power plants. According to a Guidehouse Insights report, global flexible DER capacity is expected to reach 161 GW by the end of 2024, and to grow at a rate of 5.2% per year to exceed 253 GW in 2033.
DERs represent a diverse set of technologies, such as solar photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, energy storage systems like batteries, and biogas generators. These technologies enable electricity to be generated and stored in a decentralized way, often close to where it is consumed. This proximity reduces transmission losses and strengthens the resilience of the power grid. As a result, projects are multiplying, as in the case ofEiffage and Entech, who have joined forces for electricity storage projects.

Technological advances and challenges

Advances in energy hardware and software enable network operators to take advantage of the flexibility of DERs. These advances are essential market drivers, but obstacles remain, including outdated wholesale electricity market regulations and utility revenue structures. What’s more, a lack of customer awareness and education is holding back the wider adoption of flexible DERs.
Among innovative technologies, virtual power plants (VPP) and demand response (DR) programs stand out. VPPs enable several DERs to be grouped together to operate as a single entity, providing network services in a coordinated and efficient way. DR programs encourage consumers to adjust their electricity consumption in response to grid signals, helping to balance supply and demand.

Regional perspectives and segments

Guidehouse Insights forecasts show growing adoption of VPPs and DR programs in the residential and commercial segments. However, the ability of network operators to use these methods is highly dependent on the local regulatory framework. Wholesale electricity markets, local flexibility markets and distribution level programs are all available mechanisms, but their effectiveness varies according to the regulations in force.
In North America, for example, energy policies favor the integration of DERs, while in Europe, initiatives such as the European Green Pact encourage the adoption of sustainable energy solutions. In Asia-Pacific, rapid economic growth and rising energy demand are driving investment in DERs, although regulatory challenges remain.

Economic and environmental impact

Managing, controlling and optimizing DERs can provide essential services to the power grid with fewer emissions, and often at a lower cost than traditional resources. This presents a significant opportunity for network operators and consumers alike, despite the regulatory and educational challenges.
The growing importance of flexible DER in the energy transition cannot be underestimated. Technological advances will continue to reduce costs and improve efficiency, while regulatory reforms and awareness-raising efforts will help overcome current obstacles. By promoting wider integration of DERs, economies can not only meet their climate targets, but also strengthen the resilience and reliability of their power grids.
The economic implications of this transition are also significant. Investment in DERs can create jobs, stimulate innovation and promote industrial competitiveness. Moreover, by reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels, countries can improve their energy security.
The capacity of flexible distributed energy resources to reach 253 GW by 2033 represents a significant turning point for the global energy sector. Technological advances, regulatory reform and greater consumer awareness are essential to realizing this potential. By further integrating DERs, network operators can not only improve the reliability and resilience of their systems, but also make a significant contribution to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The Carney–Smith agreement launches a new pipeline to Asia, removes oil and gas emission caps, and initiates reform of the Pacific north coast tanker ban.
The gradual exit from CfD contracts is turning stable assets into infrastructures exposed to higher volatility, challenging expected returns and traditional financing models for the renewable sector.
The Canadian government introduces major legislative changes to the Energy Efficiency Act to support its national strategy and adapt to the realities of digital commerce.
Quebec becomes the only Canadian province where a carbon price still applies directly to fuels, as Ottawa eliminated the public-facing carbon tax in April 2025.
New Delhi launches a 72.8 bn INR incentive plan to build a 6,000-tonne domestic capacity for permanent magnets, amid rising Chinese export restrictions on critical components.
The rise of CfDs, PPAs and capacity mechanisms signals a structural shift: markets alone no longer cover 10–30-year financing needs, while spot prices have surged 400% in Europe since 2019.
Germany plans to finalise the €5.8bn ($6.34bn) purchase of a 25.1% stake in TenneT Germany to strengthen its control over critical national power grid infrastructure.
The Ghanaian government is implementing a reform of its energy system focused on increasing the use of local natural gas, aiming to reduce electricity production costs and limit the sector's financial imbalance.
On the 50th anniversary of its independence, Suriname announced a national roadmap including major public investment to develop its offshore oil reserves.
In its latest review, the International Energy Agency warns of structural blockages in South Korea’s electricity market, calling for urgent reforms to close the gap on renewables and reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels.
China's power generation capacity recorded strong growth in October, driven by continued expansion of solar and wind, according to official data from the National Energy Administration.
The 2026–2031 offshore programme proposes opening over one billion acres to oil exploration, triggering a regulatory clash between Washington, coastal states and legal advocacy groups.
The government of Mozambique is consolidating its gas transport and regasification assets under a public vehicle, anchoring the strategic Beira–Rompco corridor to support Rovuma projects and respond to South Africa’s gas dependency.
The British system operator NESO initiates a consultation process to define the methodology of eleven upcoming regional strategic plans aimed at coordinating energy needs across England, Scotland and Wales.
The Belém summit ends with a technical compromise prioritising forest investment and adaptation, while avoiding fossil fuel discussions and opening a climate–trade dialogue likely to trigger new regulatory disputes.
The Asian Development Bank and the Kyrgyz Republic have signed a financing agreement to strengthen energy infrastructure, climate resilience and regional connectivity, with over $700mn committed through 2027.
A study from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies finds that energy-from-waste with carbon capture delivers nearly twice the climate benefit of converting waste into aviation fuel.
Signed for 25 years, the new concession contract between Sipperec, EDF and Enedis covers 87 municipalities in the Île-de-France region and commits the parties to managing and developing the public electricity distribution network until 2051.
The French Energy Regulatory Commission publishes its 2023–2024 report, detailing the crisis impact on gas and electricity markets and the measures deployed to support competition and rebuild consumer trust.
Gathered in Belém, states from Africa, Asia, Latin America and Europe support the adoption of a timeline for the gradual withdrawal from fossil fuels, despite expected resistance from several producer countries.

All the latest energy news, all the time

Annual subscription

8.25$/month*

*billed annually at 99$/year for the first year then 149,00$/year ​

Unlimited access - Archives included - Pro invoice

Monthly subscription

Unlimited access • Archives included

5.2$/month*
then 14.90$ per month thereafter

*Prices shown are exclusive of VAT, which may vary according to your location or professional status.

Since 2021: 30,000 articles - +150 analyses/week.