China’s Supremacy in the Global Solar Industry Intensifies

A report highlights China's massive expansion in solar manufacturing, presaging global repercussions.

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A colossal investment in the solar sector has put one global player in a leading position, with a stranglehold that is set to extend to over 80% of the production of essential components in the coming years. According to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis, these developments herald a radical shift in the balance of power in an industry that is vital to our energy future.

Competition and its Limits in the Face of Cost Domination

The resulting capacity for investment and expansion has given this giant a considerable head start, with production costs far lower, making competition tough. Similarly, a module manufactured here costs half as much as its European equivalent, and almost three times less than that in the USA, highlighting the international competitive challenges.

Technological Initiative and the Growing Gap

In the face of efforts by other nations to increase their production capacity, our strategy of developing N-type cells is a clear demonstration of our technological leadership. This technological gap could reinforce an already well-established pre-eminence in the globalsolar industry.

The Challenges of Overproduction and the Future of Solar Technology

Mass production brings with it consequences such as oversupply and intense pressure on manufacturers, who have to navigate between capacity reduction and the risk of closure. Moreover, the decline in demand for less efficient products, such as P-type cells, heralds a reorientation of the market.

Industry outlook and geopolitical implications

Wood Mackenzie’s report puts into perspective the evolution of an industry entering a critical period. Module manufacturers have to adapt to a new economic reality, while taking into account the geopolitical implications that accompany technological and production monopolies.

Wood Mackenzie’s detailed analysis highlights the evolution of a hegemony in the solar sector that could redefine the parameters of global energy supply. While some see this trend as a potential consolidation of cost and technology supremacy, others see it as an opportunity to rethink energy policies and strengthen technological independence. The transition to a sustainable global solar economy thus seems to be at a crossroads between innovation and geopolitical strategy.

SEG Solar launches a strategic industrial project in Indonesia with 3GW capacity to support the supply chain of its photovoltaic modules for the US market.
Vietnam's Boviet Solar has launched two industrial sites in North Carolina to produce solar cells and modules, with over 1,300 jobs created and a total investment of $400mn.
Acciona Energía sells 49% of its U.S. solar portfolio and all of two Mexican wind farms in a $1bn deal, reinforcing its asset rotation strategy.
Maxeon Solar Technologies has launched a new legal action against Aiko Solar and its European distributors over alleged infringement of a key back contact photovoltaic technology patent.
Vena Group has finalised a landmark foreign currency financing for its Opus solar project in the Philippines, marking a major milestone for cross-border investments in energy.
Voltalia strengthens its presence in Italy with four solar projects awarded under the FERX tender, securing stable revenues over two decades for a total capacity of 68 megawatts.
French developer Akuo has completed three crowdfunding campaigns to support its solar power plants in Côte-d’Or, raising a total of €5.15mn ($5.57mn) exclusively from local stakeholders.
Zimbabwe plans to launch the construction of a 600 MW floating solar power plant on Lake Kariba in 2026, aiming to reduce its reliance on drought-affected hydropower.
The company has secured a 108 MW solar project in Sicily, its largest in Italy, following the second national FER X auction, strengthening its portfolio of energy investments in the country.
Independent power producer GreenGo strengthens its portfolio to 193 MW under public schemes, after winning a new 48 MW solar project through the FER X NZIA programme.
Italy awarded over 1.1 gigawatts to 88 solar projects using no Chinese equipment, in a European first, at an average tariff of €66.38/MWh, 17% above previous auctions.
French firm Newheat forms a joint venture with Sunmark Chile to develop large-scale solar thermal heat projects for the mining sector, targeting decarbonisation of copper extraction processes in Chile.
Scatec has begun commercial operation of the second phase of its 120 MW solar project in Mmadinare, marking a strategic step in Botswana’s energy sector.
Origis Energy finalised a $290mn financing with Natixis CIB and Santander for the Swift Air Solar II and III projects, totalling 313 MWdc of installed capacity in Ector County, Texas.
ACWA Power and Bapco Energies signed a joint development agreement for a solar power plant integrated with storage technology in eastern Saudi Arabia, to supply electricity to Bahrain.
The Tilley Solar project, led by Indigenous and private partners, has reached full commissioning, adding 23.6 MW to Alberta's power grid and marking an economic milestone for Alexander First Nation.
Waaree Solar Americas will supply next-generation bifacial modules to Sabancı Renewables for two utility-scale solar plants in Texas, strengthening its presence in the North American market.
A court in Illinois has dismissed a lawsuit filed against ECA Solar, removing legal barriers to the construction of a planned solar facility outside the city limits of Morris.
EDF power solutions acquires a 20% stake in Obelisk, a 1.1GW hybrid solar and storage project in Egypt led by Scatec and Norfund, marking a new milestone in its regional strategy.
Mitsubishi HC Capital Energy and Ecokaku will develop 10 MW of non-subsidised solar power plants annually in Japan, targeting direct contracts with industrial buyers through long-term power purchase agreements.

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