China’s Supremacy in the Global Solar Industry Intensifies

A report highlights China's massive expansion in solar manufacturing, presaging global repercussions.

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A colossal investment in the solar sector has put one global player in a leading position, with a stranglehold that is set to extend to over 80% of the production of essential components in the coming years. According to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis, these developments herald a radical shift in the balance of power in an industry that is vital to our energy future.

Competition and its Limits in the Face of Cost Domination

The resulting capacity for investment and expansion has given this giant a considerable head start, with production costs far lower, making competition tough. Similarly, a module manufactured here costs half as much as its European equivalent, and almost three times less than that in the USA, highlighting the international competitive challenges.

Technological Initiative and the Growing Gap

In the face of efforts by other nations to increase their production capacity, our strategy of developing N-type cells is a clear demonstration of our technological leadership. This technological gap could reinforce an already well-established pre-eminence in the globalsolar industry.

The Challenges of Overproduction and the Future of Solar Technology

Mass production brings with it consequences such as oversupply and intense pressure on manufacturers, who have to navigate between capacity reduction and the risk of closure. Moreover, the decline in demand for less efficient products, such as P-type cells, heralds a reorientation of the market.

Industry outlook and geopolitical implications

Wood Mackenzie’s report puts into perspective the evolution of an industry entering a critical period. Module manufacturers have to adapt to a new economic reality, while taking into account the geopolitical implications that accompany technological and production monopolies.

Wood Mackenzie’s detailed analysis highlights the evolution of a hegemony in the solar sector that could redefine the parameters of global energy supply. While some see this trend as a potential consolidation of cost and technology supremacy, others see it as an opportunity to rethink energy policies and strengthen technological independence. The transition to a sustainable global solar economy thus seems to be at a crossroads between innovation and geopolitical strategy.

Indian solar module manufacturer Emmvee has commissioned a new 2.5 GW production unit in Karnataka, raising its total capacity to 10.3 GW and triggering a 6% rise in its share price on the BSE.
The Solar Energy Corporation of India has opened a tender to purchase 1 GW of excess electricity from projects connected to the interstate grid, combined with battery storage systems.
Sembcorp Industries has completed the purchase of ReNew Sun Bright, strengthening its solar presence in India with a 300 MW project located in Rajasthan.
Swedish group Orrön Energy is selling a portfolio of development-stage solar projects to Gülermak for up to €14mn, including an initial €0.7mn payment and additional milestone-based consideration.
T1 Energy will supply Treaty Oak with 900MW of solar modules over three years, leveraging domestically produced cells from Austin to meet increasing regulatory requirements.
Solarpro commissions Hungary’s largest photovoltaic plant using 700,000 advanced modules supplied by LONGi, with an expected annual output of 470 GWh.
UK-based manufacturer Awendio Solaris plans to build a 2.5 GW solar industrial platform, expandable to 5 GW, in Quebec, targeting North American markets with a 100% regional supply chain.
Technique Solaire has secured €40mn ($43.5mn) in junior debt from BNP Paribas Asset Management to structure two solar portfolios totalling 392 MWp across France, Spain and the Netherlands.
EDF Power Solutions UK has appointed METLEN to lead engineering and construction for the 400MW Longfield solar farm in Essex, with commissioning scheduled for 2030.
Independent power producer Neoen has secured six agrivoltaic projects totalling 124 MWp, reinforcing its position as the leading winner in French solar tenders since 2021.
As the photovoltaic industry enters a phase of deep restructuring, the duel between TOPCon 4.0 and heterojunction technologies is redefining manufacturers’ margins. In 2026, reducing production costs becomes the primary strategic lever for global market leaders.
JA Solar and Trinasolar top Wood Mackenzie’s latest semiannual ranking despite a sector-wide net loss of $2.2 billion. Industrial leaders are strengthening their grip on global photovoltaic module supply through rigorous financial discipline.
BayWa r.e. has finalised the sale of a 46 MW floating solar park, the country’s largest, to a Dutch public-local consortium, marking a new step in the decentralised structuring of the solar market in the Netherlands.
The ATUM Solar industrial complex, located in Ain Sokhna, will include three factories—two of 2 GW capacity—backed by a $220mn investment from an international consortium.
AMEA Power has completed the commercial commissioning of a 120 MWp solar project in Kairouan, marking a national first in Tunisia for a renewable energy installation of this scale.
The Gerus plant becomes the first solar installation in Namibia to sell electricity directly on the Southern African Power Pool regional market.
Japanese conglomerate Tokyu teams up with Global Infrastructure Management and Clean Energy Connect to build 800 low-voltage solar plants totalling 70MWDC, under an off-site power purchase agreement for its facilities.
T1 Energy has begun construction of a solar cell facility in Milam County, Texas, representing an investment of up to $425mn, aimed at strengthening U.S. industrial autonomy in the photovoltaic supply chain.
Pivot Energy has secured $225mn in funding from three banking partners to support a portfolio of 60 community solar power plants across nine US states.
Voltalia has started building a 43-megawatt hybrid plant in Sainte-Anne, combining solar, battery storage and bioenergy to meet growing electricity demand in western French Guiana.

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