China’s Supremacy in the Global Solar Industry Intensifies

A report highlights China's massive expansion in solar manufacturing, presaging global repercussions.

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A colossal investment in the solar sector has put one global player in a leading position, with a stranglehold that is set to extend to over 80% of the production of essential components in the coming years. According to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis, these developments herald a radical shift in the balance of power in an industry that is vital to our energy future.

Competition and its Limits in the Face of Cost Domination

The resulting capacity for investment and expansion has given this giant a considerable head start, with production costs far lower, making competition tough. Similarly, a module manufactured here costs half as much as its European equivalent, and almost three times less than that in the USA, highlighting the international competitive challenges.

Technological Initiative and the Growing Gap

In the face of efforts by other nations to increase their production capacity, our strategy of developing N-type cells is a clear demonstration of our technological leadership. This technological gap could reinforce an already well-established pre-eminence in the globalsolar industry.

The Challenges of Overproduction and the Future of Solar Technology

Mass production brings with it consequences such as oversupply and intense pressure on manufacturers, who have to navigate between capacity reduction and the risk of closure. Moreover, the decline in demand for less efficient products, such as P-type cells, heralds a reorientation of the market.

Industry outlook and geopolitical implications

Wood Mackenzie’s report puts into perspective the evolution of an industry entering a critical period. Module manufacturers have to adapt to a new economic reality, while taking into account the geopolitical implications that accompany technological and production monopolies.

Wood Mackenzie’s detailed analysis highlights the evolution of a hegemony in the solar sector that could redefine the parameters of global energy supply. While some see this trend as a potential consolidation of cost and technology supremacy, others see it as an opportunity to rethink energy policies and strengthen technological independence. The transition to a sustainable global solar economy thus seems to be at a crossroads between innovation and geopolitical strategy.

JA Solar has signed an agreement with Larsen & Toubro to supply photovoltaic modules for the Samarkand 1 and 2 solar power plants, developed by ACWA Power with a total installed capacity of 1.2 GW.
Taiwanese company HD Renewable Energy is expanding internationally with major solar and battery storage projects in Australia and Japan, targeting more than 6 gigawatts of installed capacity by 2028.
Two photovoltaic plants with a combined capacity of 1,400 MW will be operational in 2027, strengthening EDF Group's international presence and Asian actors in Saudi Arabia's energy market.
Matrix Renewables and SOLV Energy have completed construction of the Stillhouse Solar plant, a 284 MW project in Bell County, representing over $370mn in private investment and 320 jobs created.
With solar module manufacturing capacity tripling domestic demand, India holds 29 GW in inventory, while exports to the United States fall by 52%.
Boviet Solar strengthens its industrial presence in the United States with a major investment in a new 3 GW photovoltaic cell plant in Greenville, consolidating its North American expansion strategy.
BrightNight and Cordelio Power have announced the financial close for the Pioneer Clean Energy Center, a hybrid project combining 300 MW of solar and 1,200 MWh of energy storage in Arizona, aimed at supporting the state's growing energy demand.
Driven by innovations in perovskite and quantum dots, the next-generation solar cells market, valued at USD 4.21 billion in 2024, is expected to grow rapidly at a rate of 21.21%, reaching USD 19.62 billion by 2032.
GreenYellow and Sasol Italy announce the start of construction of a 5.1 MWp photovoltaic solar plant in Terranova Dei Passerini. This project aims to strengthen Sasol’s energy independence in Italy while contributing to the industrial energy transition.
Seven-Eleven Japan signs a power purchase agreement (PPA) with Chugoku Electric Power to acquire 22.3 GWh annually from solar and hydro projects, marking a new chapter for the retailer in renewable energy procurement.
OneD Battery Sciences and Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology announce a development agreement to design and scale production of silicon-carbon anodes for lithium-ion batteries.
China's decision to cancel the 13% VAT rebate on photovoltaic module exports triggers a sharp price adjustment and reshapes a market under pressure for the past two years.
Zimplats starts phase 2A of its solar project in Zimbabwe, with a $54 million investment to add 45 MW to its capacity, bringing its total to 80 MW to power its mining sites.
Foulath Holding partners with Yellow Door Energy to develop a 123 MWc industrial solar power project in Bahrain, setting a global record in size and capacity for a single site.
GCL Energy Technology strengthens its presence in Southeast Asia by partnering with PLN Indonesia Power to develop two 100 MW solar plants, both ground-mounted and floating, as part of the government’s Hijaunesia program.
Energy group REDEN has commissioned a 3-hectare agrivoltaic greenhouse in Montaut, Ariège, combining specialised agricultural production and electricity generation on a single family-run site.
Ghana commits $200mn to equip 4,000 rooftops with solar panels, aiming to stabilise a strained grid and attract private capital into its power sector.
Takeei Energy & Park begins operating its first asset under the feed-in-premium scheme, marking a milestone in the group’s investment strategy in the renewable energy sector.
An unprecedented partnership with the Canada Infrastructure Bank enables George Gordon First Nation to fully own a solar plant powering a potash mine in Saskatchewan.
Zelestra has closed a $60mn tax equity deal with Stonehenge Capital to support its 81 MW solar project in Indiana, set to become operational in Q4 2025.

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