China’s Supremacy in the Global Solar Industry Intensifies

A report highlights China's massive expansion in solar manufacturing, presaging global repercussions.

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A colossal investment in the solar sector has put one global player in a leading position, with a stranglehold that is set to extend to over 80% of the production of essential components in the coming years. According to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis, these developments herald a radical shift in the balance of power in an industry that is vital to our energy future.

Competition and its Limits in the Face of Cost Domination

The resulting capacity for investment and expansion has given this giant a considerable head start, with production costs far lower, making competition tough. Similarly, a module manufactured here costs half as much as its European equivalent, and almost three times less than that in the USA, highlighting the international competitive challenges.

Technological Initiative and the Growing Gap

In the face of efforts by other nations to increase their production capacity, our strategy of developing N-type cells is a clear demonstration of our technological leadership. This technological gap could reinforce an already well-established pre-eminence in the globalsolar industry.

The Challenges of Overproduction and the Future of Solar Technology

Mass production brings with it consequences such as oversupply and intense pressure on manufacturers, who have to navigate between capacity reduction and the risk of closure. Moreover, the decline in demand for less efficient products, such as P-type cells, heralds a reorientation of the market.

Industry outlook and geopolitical implications

Wood Mackenzie’s report puts into perspective the evolution of an industry entering a critical period. Module manufacturers have to adapt to a new economic reality, while taking into account the geopolitical implications that accompany technological and production monopolies.

Wood Mackenzie’s detailed analysis highlights the evolution of a hegemony in the solar sector that could redefine the parameters of global energy supply. While some see this trend as a potential consolidation of cost and technology supremacy, others see it as an opportunity to rethink energy policies and strengthen technological independence. The transition to a sustainable global solar economy thus seems to be at a crossroads between innovation and geopolitical strategy.

Italy awarded over 1.1 gigawatts to 88 solar projects using no Chinese equipment, in a European first, at an average tariff of €66.38/MWh, 17% above previous auctions.
French firm Newheat forms a joint venture with Sunmark Chile to develop large-scale solar thermal heat projects for the mining sector, targeting decarbonisation of copper extraction processes in Chile.
Scatec has begun commercial operation of the second phase of its 120 MW solar project in Mmadinare, marking a strategic step in Botswana’s energy sector.
Origis Energy finalised a $290mn financing with Natixis CIB and Santander for the Swift Air Solar II and III projects, totalling 313 MWdc of installed capacity in Ector County, Texas.
ACWA Power and Bapco Energies signed a joint development agreement for a solar power plant integrated with storage technology in eastern Saudi Arabia, to supply electricity to Bahrain.
The Tilley Solar project, led by Indigenous and private partners, has reached full commissioning, adding 23.6 MW to Alberta's power grid and marking an economic milestone for Alexander First Nation.
Waaree Solar Americas will supply next-generation bifacial modules to Sabancı Renewables for two utility-scale solar plants in Texas, strengthening its presence in the North American market.
A court in Illinois has dismissed a lawsuit filed against ECA Solar, removing legal barriers to the construction of a planned solar facility outside the city limits of Morris.
EDF power solutions acquires a 20% stake in Obelisk, a 1.1GW hybrid solar and storage project in Egypt led by Scatec and Norfund, marking a new milestone in its regional strategy.
Mitsubishi HC Capital Energy and Ecokaku will develop 10 MW of non-subsidised solar power plants annually in Japan, targeting direct contracts with industrial buyers through long-term power purchase agreements.
Canadian company NU E Power plans to fund the development of its solar projects in Lethbridge and feasibility studies in Mongolia, Malaysia, and Africa through a $1.8mn private placement.
Citicore Renewable Energy Corporation signed a PHP3.975bn ($71mn) project finance loan with Bank of the Philippine Islands to accelerate the completion of its 113MW solar power plant in Pangasinan province.
Norwegian producer Scatec launches commercial operation of its 273 MW solar plant in Western Cape under a 20-year power purchase agreement.
Scatec has signed two shareholder agreements for its 1.1GW hybrid project in Egypt, reducing its economic interest while retaining operational control.
The French subsidiary of Solarwatt has filed for court-ordered restructuring, hit by reduced public subsidies and a downturn in the residential solar segment.
Zelestra sells its Latin American platform to Promigas, including 1.4 GW of operational or under-construction assets and 2.1 GW of advanced-stage projects in Chile, Peru and Colombia.
Over 140 solar sector companies have urged Congress to lift a directive from the Department of the Interior blocking permit approvals, putting hundreds of energy projects in the United States at risk.
Un terminal portuaire en Espagne alliera réfrigération industrielle haute performance et production solaire pour optimiser les coûts énergétiques et les capacités logistiques de PTP Ibérica, avec un démarrage prévu d’ici mi-2026.
Toshiba’s subsidiary commits to acquiring non-fossil certificates from a floating solar power plant operated by OTS in Japan, under a virtual power purchase agreement coordinated by Digital Grid.
Terra-Gen has closed $383.3mn in financing for the construction of its Lockhart III and IV solar units, adding 205 MW to California’s grid with commercial operations expected in 2026.

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