Offshore wind turbines: How far can the race for gigantism go?

Offshore wind turbines continue to grow in size and power to meet the demand for low-carbon electricity, but this trend has its technical and economic limits.

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The offshore wind turbine industry has experienced spectacular growth in recent years. Since 2016, the average output of offshore wind turbines has doubled from 6 MW to models of up to 15 MW, such as those at Scotland’s Moray West wind farm. Equipped with 60 108-meter-diameter wind turbines, the wind farm can power 1.3 million homes. China, lagging behind the Europeans, is already announcing 20 MW models with rotors almost 300 metres long.
The appeal of larger wind turbines lies in their ability to capture stronger, more constant winds, thereby reducing the cost of the energy produced. Matthieu Monnier, deputy delegate general of the France Renouvelables association, points out that this race to gigantism is motivated by economic and practical considerations: fewer wind turbines are needed for a given capacity, simplifying projects and reducing visual impact.

Floating technology and technical challenges

The future of offshore wind power could lie in floating technologies, enabling wind turbines to be installed in deep waters, far from the coast. Ricardo Rocha, Technical Director at BayWa r.e., sees this technology as a solution to the constraints of traditional foundations. Floating structures can be less massive, making it possible to install larger wind turbines without the current infrastructure limitations.
However, there is no shortage of challenges. Port infrastructures and ships capable of transporting increasingly heavy and voluminous components are rare. Maintenance of wind farms far from the coast also poses problems, despite advances in the use of drones.

Economic and environmental limits

The continuous expansion of wind turbine capacities has weakened the economies of European manufacturers. According to Matthieu Monnier, the need to develop ever more powerful machines before making previous ones profitable has created a difficult economic situation. In addition, the rise of wind turbines raises questions of economic sustainability, with Chinese players benefiting from massive subsidies, regardless of the profitability of their projects.
Even the big names in the wind power industry have their reservations. The CEO of Vestas recently declared that their wind turbines were big enough. However, competitors such as General Electric and Siemens Gamesa continue to develop even more powerful models, potentially reaching 18 MW or more.

An Uncertain Future

The race for gigantic offshore wind turbines is far from over, but it’s running up against physical and economic limits. Wind itself has its limits, and at some point the cost of producing a wind turbine could exceed the profits it generates. The sustainable development of offshore wind power will depend on the industry’s ability to strike a balance between technological innovation and economic viability.

The global offshore wind market could more than double by 2030, driven by technological innovation, evolving marine substructures, and integration into high-voltage power grids.
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The financing supported by the European Investment Bank will enable GreenIT to develop its portfolio of onshore wind projects in Italy by 2028.
Indian wind turbine manufacturer Suzlon has secured an 838 MW contract from Tata Power Renewable Energy for a wind project spanning three states, marking its largest order of the 2025–2026 fiscal year.
With 816 MW of capacity and 140 turbines, Colbún’s Horizonte wind farm launched its commercial phase in early September after a gradual deployment over several months.
VSB Germany is developing over 800 megawatts of wind, solar, and storage projects, with 20% originating from repowering, confirming an investment strategy focused on optimising existing assets.
Danish group Ørsted will raise new funds through a rights issue to strengthen its financial structure and cover needs linked to the full ownership of the Sunrise Wind project.
Norway has received two bids for offshore sites in the Utsira Nord zone, marking a key step in the country’s floating wind development.
EDP Renováveis has completed the sale of twelve operational wind farms in France and Belgium to Amundi Transition Energétique for an enterprise value of €200mn ($215mn).
Octopus Energy has signed a strategic agreement with Ming Yang Smart Energy to deploy up to 6 GW of wind projects in the UK, combining software technology and turbines to boost local capacity.
The US government has requested the judicial cancellation of the federal permit granted in 2024 for an offshore wind project, citing impacts on commercial fishing and maritime rescue operations.
Vattenfall commits new investment to the Clashindarroch II onshore wind project, a 63MW site in Scotland set to begin construction in 2026 and deliver first power in 2027.
Alerion Clean Power enters the Irish market through the acquisition of an onshore wind farm in County Tipperary, as part of its 2025–2028 industrial plan.
Driven by China's acceleration, global wind capacity is expected to reach 170 GW in 2025, paving the way for a doubling of installed capacity by 2032.
Ocean Winds reaches a new milestone with the installation of the first foundation at the Dieppe – Le Tréport offshore wind farm, which will comprise 62 turbines supplying nearly 850,000 people.
Pennavel and BrestPort strengthen their partnership around the South Brittany floating wind project, aiming to structure industrial operations from 2030 at the EMR terminal of the port of Brest.
Van Oord has completed the installation of 109 inter-array cables at the Sofia offshore wind farm, marking a major logistical milestone for this North Sea energy infrastructure project.
Italian producer ERG will supply 1.2 TWh of energy to Rete Ferroviaria Italiana starting in October, marking a step forward in structuring the national PPA market.
The Chinese turbine manufacturer has signed a strategic agreement with Mensis Enerji to develop an initial 4.5 GW wind power portfolio in Turkey, strengthening its position in a fast-growing regional market.
The Trump administration plans to revoke federal approval of the New England Wind project, jeopardising offshore wind contracts representing 2,600 MW of capacity off the northeastern US coast.

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