Offshore wind turbines: How far can the race for gigantism go?

Offshore wind turbines continue to grow in size and power to meet the demand for low-carbon electricity, but this trend has its technical and economic limits.

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Course au gigantisme éolien

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The offshore wind turbine industry has experienced spectacular growth in recent years. Since 2016, the average output of offshore wind turbines has doubled from 6 MW to models of up to 15 MW, such as those at Scotland’s Moray West wind farm. Equipped with 60 108-meter-diameter wind turbines, the wind farm can power 1.3 million homes. China, lagging behind the Europeans, is already announcing 20 MW models with rotors almost 300 metres long.
The appeal of larger wind turbines lies in their ability to capture stronger, more constant winds, thereby reducing the cost of the energy produced. Matthieu Monnier, deputy delegate general of the France Renouvelables association, points out that this race to gigantism is motivated by economic and practical considerations: fewer wind turbines are needed for a given capacity, simplifying projects and reducing visual impact.

Floating technology and technical challenges

The future of offshore wind power could lie in floating technologies, enabling wind turbines to be installed in deep waters, far from the coast. Ricardo Rocha, Technical Director at BayWa r.e., sees this technology as a solution to the constraints of traditional foundations. Floating structures can be less massive, making it possible to install larger wind turbines without the current infrastructure limitations.
However, there is no shortage of challenges. Port infrastructures and ships capable of transporting increasingly heavy and voluminous components are rare. Maintenance of wind farms far from the coast also poses problems, despite advances in the use of drones.

Economic and environmental limits

The continuous expansion of wind turbine capacities has weakened the economies of European manufacturers. According to Matthieu Monnier, the need to develop ever more powerful machines before making previous ones profitable has created a difficult economic situation. In addition, the rise of wind turbines raises questions of economic sustainability, with Chinese players benefiting from massive subsidies, regardless of the profitability of their projects.
Even the big names in the wind power industry have their reservations. The CEO of Vestas recently declared that their wind turbines were big enough. However, competitors such as General Electric and Siemens Gamesa continue to develop even more powerful models, potentially reaching 18 MW or more.

An Uncertain Future

The race for gigantic offshore wind turbines is far from over, but it’s running up against physical and economic limits. Wind itself has its limits, and at some point the cost of producing a wind turbine could exceed the profits it generates. The sustainable development of offshore wind power will depend on the industry’s ability to strike a balance between technological innovation and economic viability.

BayWa r.e. has reached a strategic milestone with the concept certification of its BayFloat floating substructure, validated by DNV according to current floating offshore wind standards.
A full-scale testing programme will begin in January to assess a blade reinforcement technology developed by Bladena, as ageing offshore wind fleets raise durability challenges.
Africa's first wind project led by a Chinese company, the De Aar plant generates 770 million kWh annually and focuses on developing local talent.
SPIE Wind Connect has been selected by DEME Offshore to carry out all connection and high-voltage cable testing work for the 3.6 GW Dogger Bank offshore wind project off the UK coast.
German group Nordex will supply three turbines to developer BMR for a 21 MW project in North Rhine-Westphalia, bringing BMR's total orders to nearly 110 MW in 2025.
Q ENERGY is simultaneously conducting the repowering and extension of its wind farm in Aude, with commissioning scheduled for late 2026 and a production goal equivalent to the consumption of 45,000 people.
Cordelio Power has launched commercial operations of the Crossover wind farm in Arkansas, securing a 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft and closing $811mn in financing from North American banks.
VSB France has commissioned the Eoliennes de Fadoumal wind farm in Lozère, a 13.8 MW facility located in a forested high-altitude area and equipped with a patented avifauna detection system.
Proparco has invested in the 100 MW Kipeto wind farm in Kenya, reinforcing France’s financial involvement in East Africa’s energy sector, without disclosing the amount of the transaction.
The Monte Cristo I project strengthens Terra-Gen’s presence in Texas with a total capacity of 273 MW and economic returns exceeding $100mn for local communities.
The UK is betting on a new contracts-for-difference model to secure up to 5.5 GW of offshore wind, despite a reduced budget and unprecedented competitive pressure.
CWP Energy and KfW IPEX-Bank have finalised a £400mn ($494mn) financing agreement for the Sanquhar II onshore wind farm, marking a strategic milestone in UK energy investments.
Nordex Group will deliver seven turbines for two wind farms commissioned by SSE in Aragón, strengthening their partnership and reinforcing the industrial supply chain in Spain.
German manufacturer Nordex has signed three orders with DenkerWulf for 25 onshore wind turbines, with a total capacity of 122.7 MW to be installed between 2027 and 2028 in northern Germany.
RWE won two projects totalling 21.6 MW in the latest onshore wind tender by the CRE, strengthening its presence in Oise and Morbihan and consolidating its investments in France.
Danish group Cadeler has signed two contracts for the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine foundations and units worth a combined €500mn, subject to a final investment decision by the client.
Shell withdraws from two floating wind projects in Scotland, reinforcing capital discipline in favour of faster-return activities. ScottishPower takes over MarramWind while CampionWind is returned to Crown Estate Scotland for reallocation.
J-POWER will take over Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ domestic onshore wind maintenance operations under a deal set to strengthen its local market position by spring 2026.
The consortium brings together Air Liquide, RTE, Nexans, ITP Interpipe and CentraleSupélec to develop a demonstrator for offshore electricity transport using superconducting cables cooled with liquid nitrogen.
Developer Q ENERGY has inaugurated a seventh wind farm in Biesles, Haute-Marne, with Velto Renewables acquiring a 50% ownership stake.

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